@riskofnorisk

#3,073,74034

0xd6ce651998b7a30ff3384e5a01feab8a2da00772

~344d· 727 markets · 12242 tradesVol: $9,061,2252026-08-04 18:12:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (452/724)16.2/20
0.79x (win $549,286 / loss $695,568)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4940/15
Sortino -1.6580/10
$-0.0428 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 86 (724 markets)10/10
146/245 profitable days (60%)7.4/10
Max DD 403% of peak ($209,368 / $51,948)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 17.1 entries/market
Whale
$3,418,598 invested
High Roller
$5,235/day
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,883,011$-79,475Vol: $5,163,902
📈 ECONOMICS#675,734$-498Vol: $1,438,251
🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,228$-10,824Vol: $1,284,623
₿ CRYPTO#1,677,989$-38,211Vol: $586,422
🎭 CULTURE#2,211$3,187Vol: $363,323
💻 TECH#247$8,124Vol: $135,499
💰 FINANCE#657,150$-3,117Vol: $45,138
📢 MENTIONS#173,674$-563Vol: $23,078
🌤️ WEATHER#10,680$47Vol: $2,467

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-120,574
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,061,225
Total Redeem
$3,746
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
727
total markets
Trades
9112B / 3130S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~344d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $136
Week
$-1
Vol: $136
Month
$-1
Vol: $136
All Time
$-120,574
Vol: $9,061,225

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
452W / 272L events
Realized PnL
$-120,574
Win Rate
62%
452W / 272L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$1,215
Avg Loss
$-2,696

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,088 (0.21636664031779212% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?$8,951
Bucks vs. Wizards$8,609
Hawks vs. Wizards$8,528
Bruins vs. Islanders$7,821
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$7,099
Kraken vs. Stars$5,705
Jets vs. Patriots$5,450
Jazz vs. Lakers$5,427
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?$5,274
Bengals vs. Packers$5,273

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$-52,951
Nets vs. Celtics$-41,200
Memphis vs. UAB Blazers$-28,300
Bills vs. Dolphins$-21,601
Spurs vs. Thunder$-21,303
Patriots vs. Bills$-19,250
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?$-16,338
Bengals vs. Ravens$-15,700
Raptors vs. Hornets$-15,300
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors$-13,600

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.078
Sortino
-0.059
HHI
72
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.042
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
11.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.7m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 172s — normal for humanCV 5.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.13
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.4%
Mid (20-55c)13.1%
High (>55c)47.5%

Sessions

#12
1/22/2026, 7:53:16 AM19 trades$47,90012 min
11/21/2025, 6:10:07 PM8 trades$45,58213 min
11/15/2025, 6:18:56 PM2 trades$42,0321 min
12/12/2025, 4:00:36 PM1 trades$41,2520 min
3/13/2026, 4:59:43 PM2 trades$38,2503 min
10/7/2024, 9:39:53 AM13 trades$37,35520 min
9/16/2025, 6:34:28 AM1 trades$34,9650 min
11/6/2025, 3:52:59 PM21 trades$31,72726 min
12/5/2025, 5:29:05 AM75 trades$31,49854 min
11/24/2025, 4:50:13 PM34 trades$30,31149 min
11/7/2025, 3:46:49 PM181 trades$30,18692 min
12/5/2025, 3:46:59 AM1 trades$29,9700 min
12/2/2025, 3:43:08 PM119 trades$29,58482 min
9/24/2025, 1:19:42 PM10 trades$29,12220 min
10/12/2025, 11:55:24 AM1 trades$28,4990 min
11/19/2025, 3:30:15 AM3 trades$28,4931 min
11/8/2025, 3:53:13 PM4 trades$27,6538 min
1/30/2026, 3:20:44 PM1 trades$26,9730 min
10/16/2025, 4:58:17 PM1 trades$26,7700 min
11/4/2025, 3:20:45 PM42 trades$26,48746 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-07
04-25
06-25
09-18
11-08
01-14
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 179 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.13/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L39.4 / M13.1 / H47.5