@12398fg

#3,071,7121

0xd6dbe6bc90415530f90f36d73d00ba6a687c2f0d

~6d· 14 markets · 386 tradesVol: $929,0292026-08-05 16:35:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (2/13)0/20
0.27x (win $3,652 / loss $13,537)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.2433 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2373 (13 markets)0.6/10
1/5 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 1948% of peak ($10,420 / $535)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
8% sells
High Roller
$3,693/day
🏗️Market Maker
92% maker orders

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,882,504$-33,694Vol: $912,676
📈 ECONOMICS#677,410$-641Vol: $16,056
CRYPTO#188,011$19Vol: $297

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-34,317
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$929,029
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
357B / 29S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~6d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
2W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-34,317
Win Rate
15%
2W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$1,826
Avg Loss
$-1,231

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,652 (0.10642470513670438% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?$2,398
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?$1,254

Top Losers

Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?$-4,800
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-2,684
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?$-2,600
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?$-1,750
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?$-686
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?$-443
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?$-325
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?$-200
Will Jordan Pickford win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-33
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.863
Sortino
-0.946
HHI
2996
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.241
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
48.3%
Top-5 markets
92.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
35.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
41s
between trades
Avg Gap
16.0m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 41s — normal for humanCV 3.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule35 trades/day — high frequency1.3 markets/day — normal92% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.77
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.8%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)53.2%

Sessions

#12
7/18/2026, 1:45:49 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
7/11/2026, 1:42:20 PM40 trades$9,40040 min
7/15/2026, 9:14:38 AM9 trades$5,0030 min
7/11/2026, 3:41:50 PM4 trades$4,81310 min
7/15/2026, 7:33:37 PM1 trades$4,2000 min
7/11/2026, 9:21:44 AM33 trades$3,55749 min
7/15/2026, 2:26:19 PM16 trades$2,5550 min
7/11/2026, 10:16:20 AM21 trades$1,78240 min
7/15/2026, 4:44:05 AM74 trades$1,60037 min
7/14/2026, 7:24:17 AM16 trades$1,2832 min
7/14/2026, 7:13:44 PM17 trades$1,0386 min
7/15/2026, 8:56:50 AM8 trades$7101 min
7/21/2026, 12:57:52 PM2 trades$6963 min
7/14/2026, 7:04:56 PM17 trades$6833 min
7/21/2026, 2:39:28 PM12 trades$6221 min
7/18/2026, 8:30:03 PM1 trades$5000 min
7/18/2026, 8:44:03 PM11 trades$4003 min
7/11/2026, 4:46:50 PM3 trades$3792 min
7/11/2026, 3:23:08 PM2 trades$3510 min
7/18/2026, 6:30:31 AM6 trades$2540 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-11
07-12
07-15
07-18
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.77/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.8 / M0 / H53.2