@pumpernikkel
#3,031,975430xd6e2bbecada84ffc47d032106b8d5e60b0927d4f
~36d· 394 markets · 3763 tradesVol: $262,8142026-08-04 16:19:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
19% (73/393)0/20
1.11x (win $7,763 / loss $6,972)3.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.04415/15
Sortino 1.51810/10
$+0.0365 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 125 (393 markets)10/10
13/33 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 214% of peak ($2,651 / $1,239)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
67% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4🌤️ WEATHER#298,971$-3,444Vol: $240,378
🏛️ POLITICS#1,571,100$-242Vol: $14,603
⚽ SPORTS#131,846$84Vol: $6,039
💰 FINANCE#446,824$-1Vol: $346
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,697
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$262,814
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
394
total markets
Trades
2185B / 1578S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d
Periods
#2Today
$-459
Vol: $2,209
Week
$-357
Vol: $15,427
Month
$-1,321
Vol: $55,628
All Time
$-3,697
Vol: $262,814
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
19%
73W / 320L events
Realized PnL
$-3,697
Win Rate
19%
73W / 320L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$106
Avg Loss
$-22
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,748 (0.472899648363538% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?$632
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 7?$566
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 8?$550
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?$541
Spread: Goiás EC (-1.5)$435
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14?$388
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?$372
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 14?$336
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 14?$293
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14?$236
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?$-900
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 1?$-296
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?$-167
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 13?$-147
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 12?$-142
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 17?$-133
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 27?$-127
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?$-124
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 16?$-121
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?$-117
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.054
Sortino
0.069
HHI
146
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.7%
Top-5 markets
20.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
64.9
Very active
Markets / Day
6.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.7m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.6
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 94s — normal for humanCV 4.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock65 trades/day — mass trading6.8 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.51
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)67.3%
Mid (20-55c)13.8%
High (>55c)18.9%
Sessions
#128/1/2026, 5:54:09 PM3 trades$2,5760 min
6/15/2026, 4:51:21 AM109 trades$1,93247 min
6/14/2026, 7:00:15 PM55 trades$1,40631 min
6/16/2026, 5:53:14 PM44 trades$1,2677 min
6/14/2026, 2:17:42 PM50 trades$1,22737 min
6/14/2026, 4:45:21 PM21 trades$1,1116 min
6/16/2026, 4:29:21 AM10 trades$1,0990 min
6/16/2026, 9:03:12 AM109 trades$96666 min
8/2/2026, 10:40:47 AM1 trades$9140 min
7/7/2026, 10:04:11 AM20 trades$8834 min
8/1/2026, 12:52:03 AM10 trades$8761 min
8/1/2026, 9:12:11 PM1 trades$7090 min
7/9/2026, 11:38:20 PM9 trades$6990 min
7/9/2026, 10:13:43 AM2 trades$6520 min
7/9/2026, 9:29:29 AM2 trades$6300 min
6/18/2026, 11:23:20 AM38 trades$62515 min
7/8/2026, 8:32:44 PM9 trades$6123 min
6/15/2026, 6:40:09 AM11 trades$6079 min
6/16/2026, 4:01:38 PM79 trades$55517 min
6/15/2026, 7:27:34 AM8 trades$5530 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-13
06-18
06-27
07-07
07-13
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 14 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
96% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.51/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L67.3 / M13.8 / H18.9