@weirdmoon3
#60,958120xd6f8b9c68945016935db9e59818ecf6d92cb2d1d
~34d· 51 markets · 532 tradesVol: $118,1292026-08-04 17:22:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (15/39)4.2/20
0.22x (win $9,361 / loss $43,065)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5830/15
Sortino -4.5160/10
$-0.5472 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1575 (39 markets)4.6/10
8/18 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($35,701 / $0)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+1,618
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
Whale
$61,592 invested
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#12,015$1,895Vol: $96,743
📈 ECONOMICS#679,003$-1,002Vol: $9,177
💰 FINANCE#6,299$551Vol: $7,819
⚽ SPORTS#101,523$146Vol: $2,853
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,618
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$118,129
Total Redeem
$1,787
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
138B / 394S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d
Periods
#2Today
$97
Vol: $0
Week
$103
Vol: $441
Month
$203
Vol: $441
All Time
$1,618
Vol: $118,129
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
15W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$1,618
Win Rate
38%
15W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.22x
Avg Win
$624
Avg Loss
$-2,533
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,542 (3.4255003523172585% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$2,054
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1,938
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$1,550
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,163
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$746
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$426
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?$295
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$290
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$205
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$173
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-33,332
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-3,286
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-2,014
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-1,100
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$-800
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?$-686
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$-549
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$-500
Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$-200
Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$-113
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.233
Sortino
-0.174
HHI
3476
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.362
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
48.1%
Top-5 markets
107.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
58.8m
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 1.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 1:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.82
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)29.7%
Mid (20-55c)22.5%
High (>55c)47.8%
Sessions
#126/13/2026, 10:33:46 AM24 trades$20,8884 min
5/28/2026, 12:33:31 AM40 trades$14,3833 min
5/4/2026, 4:57:58 PM63 trades$7,0209 min
7/14/2026, 3:23:02 AM12 trades$6,6963 min
4/1/2026, 2:55:21 AM10 trades$5,5093 min
6/12/2026, 9:23:06 AM2 trades$4,5690 min
4/3/2026, 11:22:37 PM14 trades$4,1521 min
7/18/2026, 9:20:01 AM10 trades$3,4824 min
6/21/2026, 12:03:34 PM29 trades$2,7846 min
6/27/2026, 1:55:59 PM26 trades$2,7575 min
7/11/2026, 1:55:47 AM97 trades$2,6360 min
3/23/2026, 3:52:03 PM2 trades$2,5001 min
3/23/2026, 3:59:29 PM1 trades$2,4420 min
7/26/2026, 11:02:39 AM19 trades$2,2243 min
3/15/2026, 1:37:15 PM4 trades$2,1874 min
3/29/2026, 3:57:42 PM2 trades$2,1731 min
1/20/2026, 3:22:10 PM5 trades$1,9904 min
6/15/2026, 1:51:54 AM2 trades$1,8520 min
3/6/2026, 12:30:13 AM4 trades$1,4101 min
2/26/2026, 6:38:24 PM1 trades$1,0510 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-20
03-29
04-10
04-24
05-28
06-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
74.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.7 / M22.5 / H47.8