@swolfStrikes

#11,64092

0xd713f0d2761a77f7834dcbbbc8a25abc319daf79

~163d· 670 markets · 7489 tradesVol: $5,395,9002026-08-04 18:55:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (602/670)20/20
1.66x (win $12,499 / loss $7,529)10.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.65415/15
Sortino 5.59910/10
$+0.1775 per $1 invested8.9/10
HHI 513 (670 markets)9.9/10
130/149 profitable days (87%)10/10
Max DD 31% of peak ($1,696 / $5,500)7.8/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+12,911
Lottery Player
83% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 11.2 entries/market
Consistent
130/149 profitable days
Win Streak
46 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#647$12,991Vol: $5,386,170
🏛️ POLITICS#1,333,185$-15Vol: $8,700
SPORTS#1,550,166$-37Vol: $951
📢 MENTIONS#148,952$-29Vol: $80

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12,911
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,395,900
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
670
total markets
Trades
1196B / 6293S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~163d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
602W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$12,911
Win Rate
90%
602W / 68L
Profit Factor
1.66x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-125

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,475 (0.34664518552656554% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$4,082
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$211
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$183
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$163
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$158
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$114
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$102
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$95
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$95
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$85

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$-3,928
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-483
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$-447
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$-317
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$-301
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$-254
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$-210
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$-203
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$-194
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$-144

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.243
Sortino
0.117
HHI
1170
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.176
Kelly %
67.3%
Half-Kelly
33.7%
Top-1 market
19.5%
Top-5 markets
70.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
35.0m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
10.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.4

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 94s — normal for humanCV 10.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock32 trades/day — high frequency2.9 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.19
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)82.7%
Mid (20-55c)6.3%
High (>55c)11%

Sessions

#12
12/2/2025, 4:53:36 PM1 trades$16,8280 min
11/28/2025, 4:46:57 PM11 trades$14,04821 min
1/23/2026, 5:02:20 PM4 trades$10,0098 min
1/20/2026, 4:56:42 PM7 trades$10,0057 min
12/23/2025, 4:52:45 PM6 trades$9,5801 min
1/2/2026, 8:30:25 PM3 trades$9,3055 min
12/19/2025, 4:37:47 PM4 trades$9,0875 min
11/25/2025, 1:39:01 PM30 trades$8,1068 min
1/14/2026, 4:54:48 PM6 trades$6,0022 min
3/4/2026, 4:57:35 PM20 trades$5,99912 min
1/17/2026, 4:59:22 PM5 trades$5,8940 min
4/5/2026, 6:43:57 PM10 trades$5,4730 min
3/10/2026, 3:29:11 AM1 trades$5,3470 min
4/5/2026, 9:23:09 AM3 trades$5,2150 min
11/25/2025, 1:09:43 PM7 trades$4,1619 min
4/1/2026, 11:57:47 AM6 trades$2,4881 min
4/7/2026, 10:04:53 AM12 trades$2,2923 min
4/1/2026, 3:34:09 AM8 trades$2,2143 min
3/31/2026, 4:03:11 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/13/2026, 4:02:48 PM2 trades$1,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
12-05
01-06
01-31
02-24
03-20
06-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
84% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.19/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L82.7 / M6.3 / H11