@TheRussianKing

#2,719,84968

0xd7958435eaa8f371a22cef9b59b7e48d2be16af0

~23d· 156 markets · 626 tradesVol: $47,9642026-08-04 18:13:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (52/140)3.6/20
3.70x (win $5,286 / loss $1,429)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.84015/15
Sortino 70.15610/10
$+0.5330 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1788 (140 markets)3.6/10
6/17 profitable days (35%)1.3/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($429 / $3,857)10/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
88% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#26,620$518Vol: $28,572
CRYPTO#1,455,558$-90Vol: $8,386
💻 TECH#255,877$-480Vol: $5,913
💰 FINANCE#626,985$-76Vol: $3,041
📈 ECONOMICS#653,023$-66Vol: $1,923
SPORTS#1,436,599$-17Vol: $128
🎭 CULTURE#391,032$-0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-211
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$47,964
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
156
total markets
Trades
346B / 280S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$-106
Vol: $0
Week
$-129
Vol: $989
Month
$-185
Vol: $989
All Time
$-211
Vol: $47,964

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
52W / 88L events
Realized PnL
$-211
Win Rate
37%
52W / 88L
Profit Factor
3.7x
Avg Win
$102
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,534 (21.530269217985847% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$2,989
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1,075
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$470
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$261
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$96
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?$32
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?$30
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$29
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$21

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$-200
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-148
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$-121
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$-115
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$-81
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-53
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-51
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$-50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$-42
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-35

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.297
Sortino
4.125
HHI
1182
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.543
Kelly %
6.9%
Half-Kelly
3.4%
Top-1 market
31.4%
Top-5 markets
54.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
27.6m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 2.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.01
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24%
Mid (20-55c)64.2%
High (>55c)11.8%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 4:01:35 PM9 trades$2,2450 min
3/18/2026, 12:51:07 PM6 trades$1,1591 min
7/30/2026, 5:33:27 PM9 trades$1,1011 min
7/30/2026, 8:41:14 PM23 trades$8932 min
3/25/2026, 6:56:43 AM1 trades$7900 min
3/2/2026, 11:53:11 PM103 trades$69085 min
3/2/2026, 9:50:49 PM6 trades$6275 min
7/30/2026, 8:35:20 PM15 trades$5900 min
3/2/2026, 10:18:35 PM82 trades$55488 min
7/30/2026, 2:27:38 PM2 trades$5080 min
7/31/2026, 12:52:44 PM24 trades$5001 min
3/2/2026, 8:21:15 PM6 trades$4619 min
7/31/2026, 12:12:11 PM10 trades$4171 min
7/30/2026, 9:28:08 PM24 trades$35113 min
3/2/2026, 10:04:13 PM2 trades$3141 min
2/28/2026, 9:21:53 PM6 trades$3082 min
7/30/2026, 9:01:02 PM28 trades$3074 min
3/16/2026, 8:12:19 AM4 trades$2870 min
7/31/2026, 12:44:23 PM15 trades$2820 min
3/19/2026, 6:52:49 AM11 trades$2682 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-03
03-05
03-09
03-15
03-17
03-19
03-31
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.01/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L24 / M64.2 / H11.8