@0xD82fFd…1918
#2,640,793700xd82ffd6edf1c1caa1d208d47b05075dcd96139a7
~44d· 276 markets · 1019 tradesVol: $27,0112026-08-04 22:40:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
30% (82/276)0/20
1.92x (win $1,929 / loss $1,007)13.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.12315/15
Sortino 17.28210/10
$+0.6816 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 108 (276 markets)10/10
15/43 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 20% of peak ($226 / $1,144)10/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 20%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
4₿ CRYPTO#1,479,652$-107Vol: $14,123
🎭 CULTURE#41,592$28Vol: $12,214
⚽ SPORTS#1,609,203$-56Vol: $562
📢 MENTIONS#120,755$-7Vol: $112
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-141
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,011
Total Redeem
$53
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
276
total markets
Trades
428B / 591S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
30%
82W / 194L events
Realized PnL
$-141
Win Rate
30%
82W / 194L
Profit Factor
1.92x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-6
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,151 (8.142139876953541% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$738
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$329
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$84
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$47
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$38
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$36
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$26
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$-40
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?$-30
Will MrBeast's next video get 71 million or more views on day 3?$-20
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$-20
Will MrBeast's next video get between 68 and 71 million views on day 3?$-15
Will MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 4?$-15
Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 68 million views on day 3?$-15
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.162
Sortino
1.056
HHI
64
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.679
Kelly %
9.5%
Half-Kelly
4.8%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
8.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.7
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 190s — normal for humanCV 1.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal2.0 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.71
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)46.7%
Mid (20-55c)31.3%
High (>55c)22%
Sessions
#123/22/2026, 10:30:45 AM1 trades$3390 min
5/9/2026, 8:06:16 AM36 trades$21116 min
3/31/2026, 9:06:27 PM6 trades$1514 min
4/24/2026, 7:16:42 PM24 trades$14622 min
5/12/2026, 8:28:57 PM27 trades$1079 min
4/24/2026, 6:37:56 PM38 trades$10430 min
5/3/2026, 11:59:12 AM2 trades$1000 min
5/5/2026, 12:28:24 PM2 trades$1000 min
4/24/2026, 11:16:56 PM21 trades$7711 min
4/1/2026, 6:39:39 AM10 trades$772 min
3/29/2026, 10:24:16 AM6 trades$7611 min
3/31/2026, 8:50:43 PM7 trades$765 min
4/10/2026, 7:27:53 PM4 trades$710 min
5/9/2026, 9:14:24 PM25 trades$7120 min
4/1/2026, 7:57:37 AM13 trades$666 min
4/24/2026, 6:01:30 PM16 trades$648 min
5/11/2026, 5:24:03 PM13 trades$648 min
4/24/2026, 7:58:12 PM10 trades$625 min
5/11/2026, 5:02:59 PM15 trades$6213 min
5/5/2026, 10:07:38 PM14 trades$6212 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-13
03-26
04-03
04-25
05-05
05-12
07-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 57 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.71/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.7 / M31.3 / H22