0xOctopus

@0xOctopus

#2,967,66931

0xd832d1ecb3e88723db5eb9a81a8a227648b267e0

~280d· 1325 markets · 4020 tradesVol: $277,936 @0xKeppel2026-08-05 15:52:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (751/1284)14.2/20
0.93x (win $10,940 / loss $11,803)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4890/15
Sortino -0.6010/10
$-0.0073 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 359 (1284 markets)10/10
129/251 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 431% of peak ($2,668 / $619)0/10

Badges

3
Whale
$118,431 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,810,978$-673Vol: $126,234
💰 FINANCE#635,528$-116Vol: $60,883
🏛️ POLITICS#1,568,838$-226Vol: $40,304
CRYPTO#1,538,567$-205Vol: $15,804
🎭 CULTURE#775,663$-77Vol: $15,534
📈 ECONOMICS#641,295$-35Vol: $10,935
💻 TECH#246,308$-63Vol: $4,748
🌤️ WEATHER#272,765$-39Vol: $1,504
📢 MENTIONS#151,100$-33Vol: $1,204

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,459
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$277,936
Total Redeem
$389
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1325
total markets
Trades
2433B / 1587S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~280d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $104
Week
$-36
Vol: $2,221
Month
$-45
Vol: $2,364
All Time
$-1,459
Vol: $277,936

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
751W / 533L events
Realized PnL
$-1,459
Win Rate
58%
751W / 533L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $998 (0.6842083616098052% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?$354
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?$326
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?$319
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$315
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$312
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$308
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$289
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$263
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$246
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?$237

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-750
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$-734
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$-700
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-517
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?$-401
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-362
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?$-249
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$-240
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?$-240
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.026
Sortino
-0.024
HHI
315
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.4%
Top-5 markets
32.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 496s — normal for humanCV 2.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal2.7 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.2
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.5%
Mid (20-55c)22.6%
High (>55c)63.9%

Sessions

#12
4/12/2026, 6:14:09 PM5 trades$2,8093 min
5/7/2026, 8:20:32 PM5 trades$2,3714 min
4/7/2026, 5:30:43 AM7 trades$2,0841 min
4/18/2026, 3:28:38 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
4/13/2026, 5:12:51 PM9 trades$1,8137 min
4/22/2026, 12:59:32 PM2 trades$1,7890 min
5/11/2026, 11:12:37 PM14 trades$1,6463 min
4/9/2026, 8:19:25 PM11 trades$1,6144 min
5/2/2026, 5:19:40 PM14 trades$1,6133 min
4/13/2026, 1:59:49 PM5 trades$1,6000 min
4/21/2026, 6:56:40 PM3 trades$1,5890 min
4/10/2026, 6:59:37 PM4 trades$1,5640 min
4/9/2026, 5:30:59 AM16 trades$1,5031 min
4/12/2026, 8:16:41 PM2 trades$1,4800 min
5/1/2026, 8:28:04 PM11 trades$1,4282 min
5/1/2026, 2:28:22 PM15 trades$1,4080 min
5/9/2026, 6:04:25 PM3 trades$1,4000 min
4/19/2026, 3:06:30 PM2 trades$1,3870 min
5/1/2026, 8:15:46 PM6 trades$1,3523 min
4/11/2026, 8:27:41 AM6 trades$1,3420 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-22
12-03
01-16
02-26
04-08
05-24
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.5 / M22.6 / H63.9