@Reardensteel76

#2,107,41128

0xd83a6942cfd2a248ab3dc02ef33d3f106d77f4e7

~22d· 47 markets · 98 tradesVol: $4,6582026-08-04 22:09:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (19/38)10/20
1.00x (win $405 / loss $404)2.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0260.5/15
Sortino 0.0330.3/10
$+0.0011 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 426 (38 markets)10/10
9/18 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 133% of peak ($191 / $143)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#86,677$55Vol: $2,251
🎭 CULTURE#776,071$-85Vol: $1,337
SPORTS#1,570,303$-43Vol: $564
CRYPTO#1,017,327$-4Vol: $190
📢 MENTIONS#9,712$44Vol: $182
📈 ECONOMICS#39,650$11Vol: $111
💰 FINANCE#240,023$0Vol: $23

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-22
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,658
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
55B / 43S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $0
Week
$6
Vol: $0
Month
$10
Vol: $0
All Time
$-22
Vol: $4,658

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
19W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-22
Win Rate
50%
19W / 19L
Profit Factor
1x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $151 (6.969557195571956% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$60
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$53
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$38
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?$37
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$27
Will Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?$23
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?$16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$15

Top Losers

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-60
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$-40
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-40
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-40
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-40
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$-31
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$-21
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$-20
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?$-20
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.001
Sortino
0.001
HHI
195
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
9.3%
Half-Kelly
4.7%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
22.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
29
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 0.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.92
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.9%
Mid (20-55c)45.5%
High (>55c)43.6%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 3:59:55 PM18 trades$2274 min
7/27/2026, 9:52:00 PM10 trades$1871 min
1/3/2026, 6:46:49 AM3 trades$1511 min
3/11/2026, 5:45:15 PM4 trades$1454 min
1/10/2026, 3:09:12 AM7 trades$1409 min
11/12/2025, 6:43:54 AM3 trades$1314 min
11/9/2025, 2:26:23 PM2 trades$1050 min
5/24/2026, 9:08:04 PM5 trades$1020 min
4/25/2026, 2:58:10 PM5 trades$991 min
1/9/2026, 2:22:02 PM5 trades$951 min
1/14/2026, 2:35:44 PM5 trades$904 min
7/19/2026, 6:21:03 PM2 trades$820 min
2/1/2026, 2:44:46 AM2 trades$781 min
2/28/2026, 2:32:53 PM2 trades$761 min
5/24/2026, 9:00:15 PM4 trades$730 min
12/2/2025, 5:09:56 PM1 trades$510 min
12/18/2025, 6:53:29 PM3 trades$511 min
11/10/2025, 5:53:27 AM1 trades$510 min
11/12/2025, 6:36:40 AM1 trades$510 min
1/4/2026, 5:29:05 AM4 trades$401 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-09
11-12
01-04
01-13
02-01
04-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 88 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.9 / M45.5 / H43.6