@Mummery

#2,829,42412

0xd8bb2fc728bf8218d296cea8b241ab71e5d9385f

~9d· 13 markets · 53 tradesVol: $16,1662026-08-04 19:06:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (2/5)5/20
0.06x (win $137 / loss $2,366)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.3611 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2189 (5 markets)1.6/10
2/4 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 3063% of peak ($2,303 / $75)0/10

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,401,913$-25Vol: $14,952
SPORTS#185,592$37Vol: $734

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-429
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,166
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13
total markets
Trades
33B / 20S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $478
Month
$-0
Vol: $478
All Time
$-429
Vol: $16,166

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
2W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$-429
Win Rate
40%
2W / 3L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$69
Avg Loss
$-789

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $137 (0.31981740689847915% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Thailand (-1.5)$75
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$62

Top Losers

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?$-1,388
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?$-883
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?$-94

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.486
Sortino
-0.362
HHI
452
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.872
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.9%
Top-5 markets
41.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.8m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 219s — normal for humanCV 1.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.2
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.2%
Mid (20-55c)3%
High (>55c)72.7%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 8:59:37 AM6 trades$1,0403 min
6/29/2026, 10:40:25 AM4 trades$9700 min
7/15/2026, 2:58:05 AM3 trades$9430 min
7/21/2026, 7:37:13 AM3 trades$9400 min
6/10/2026, 10:10:18 AM3 trades$9323 min
7/9/2026, 7:37:22 AM3 trades$9314 min
6/9/2026, 5:55:06 AM5 trades$8994 min
6/10/2026, 9:24:43 AM2 trades$5200 min
7/9/2026, 6:49:19 AM2 trades$4800 min
6/9/2026, 4:45:36 AM2 trades$4700 min
7/9/2026, 9:58:47 AM2 trades$4510 min
6/13/2026, 6:55:21 AM2 trades$3700 min
6/13/2026, 7:32:18 AM2 trades$3491 min
6/15/2026, 3:51:16 AM2 trades$2600 min
6/15/2026, 5:34:39 AM2 trades$2460 min
8/2/2026, 7:11:48 AM2 trades$1410 min
8/2/2026, 7:03:42 AM2 trades$1320 min
6/29/2026, 6:45:05 AM2 trades$620 min
7/21/2026, 6:55:45 AM2 trades$320 min
7/15/2026, 2:18:44 AM2 trades$301 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-10
06-13
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.2 / M3 / H72.7