NihilisticMeerkat

@NihilisticMeerkat

#16,86841

0xd8cae792b3d84d6888080401423e973337287229

~244d· 230 markets · 7788 tradesVol: $1,988,8672026-08-05 16:35:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (113/221)10.6/20
1.07x (win $194,182 / loss $181,958)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3105.8/15
Sortino 0.4774.8/10
$+0.0135 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 298 (221 markets)10/10
66/124 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 98% of peak ($69,553 / $71,164)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+8,502
DCA Master
Avg 35.2 entries/market
Whale
$905,445 invested
High Roller
$1,217/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#3,233$12,264Vol: $1,019,022
CRYPTO#9,030$5,333Vol: $375,159
📈 ECONOMICS#827$6,845Vol: $215,221
SPORTS#1,870,566$-4,300Vol: $127,875
🎭 CULTURE#1,517$5,120Vol: $113,026
💻 TECH#247,810$-80Vol: $78,528
💰 FINANCE#658,753$-18,926Vol: $43,270
📢 MENTIONS#159,846$-66Vol: $1,135

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,502
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,988,867
Total Redeem
$6,558
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
230
total markets
Trades
2191B / 5597S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~244d

Periods

#2
Today
$67
Vol: $2,001
Week
$101
Vol: $5,850
Month
$131
Vol: $5,850
All Time
$8,502
Vol: $1,988,867

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
113W / 108L events
Realized PnL
$8,502
Win Rate
51%
113W / 108L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$1,718
Avg Loss
$-1,701

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $74,509 (8.763299279962927% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$33,720
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? $29,168
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$11,620
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$10,443
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$7,834
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $7,503
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$6,613
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$6,160
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$5,233
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$4,333

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$-23,082
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-22,612
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 28?$-18,918
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-12,700
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?$-6,912
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$-6,024
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?$-5,996
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$-5,700
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$-5,400
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$-4,924

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.016
Sortino
0.019
HHI
279
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
27.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
25.5m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
112.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
51% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 3.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active0.3 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
35.17
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.2%
Mid (20-55c)33.6%
High (>55c)59.2%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2026, 7:37:40 PM3 trades$31,2300 min
7/29/2026, 7:21:11 PM2 trades$29,7630 min
12/4/2025, 8:02:41 AM2 trades$23,8902 min
1/2/2025, 11:35:24 AM109 trades$23,22796 min
12/12/2024, 8:21:17 AM9 trades$19,78410 min
9/14/2024, 6:26:35 AM8 trades$19,4584 min
10/1/2025, 2:38:27 AM9 trades$19,2261 min
12/7/2024, 12:12:28 PM3 trades$19,0674 min
10/7/2025, 2:56:16 PM4886 trades$16,877545 min
1/3/2026, 7:20:07 AM1 trades$16,4910 min
1/29/2026, 1:55:04 AM11 trades$16,2891 min
7/26/2026, 10:16:52 AM6 trades$14,8973 min
12/21/2025, 8:11:10 PM1 trades$13,9170 min
9/30/2025, 9:30:35 AM1 trades$13,5720 min
12/12/2024, 12:05:11 PM15 trades$13,4519 min
9/2/2025, 2:09:35 AM3 trades$13,0443 min
12/11/2025, 12:41:49 PM1 trades$12,9450 min
9/11/2024, 11:18:39 AM6 trades$12,1598 min
1/2/2025, 9:27:30 AM51 trades$10,99245 min
12/20/2024, 12:32:38 PM1 trades$10,9590 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-30
11-25
09-27
11-20
12-21
03-14
07-19
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 264 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
71.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 35.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.2 / M33.6 / H59.2