@jc101520

#2,651,84625

0xd992dff3e363821f6387c624e6023c1619c84a3f

~62d· 178 markets · 835 tradesVol: $19,5002026-08-04 22:48:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (83/175)8.7/20
0.33x (win $408 / loss $1,245)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7550/15
Sortino -5.0750/10
$-0.1363 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 317 (175 markets)10/10
29/53 profitable days (55%)6.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($842 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#246,138$-10Vol: $11,534
🎭 CULTURE#786,069$-121Vol: $6,616
SPORTS#1,432,185$-17Vol: $823
🏛️ POLITICS#302,368$1Vol: $201
💰 FINANCE#413,067$-0Vol: $194
CRYPTO#912,283$-2Vol: $130

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-149
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,500
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
178
total markets
Trades
367B / 468S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $542
Week
$-1
Vol: $542
Month
$-0
Vol: $812
All Time
$-149
Vol: $19,500

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
82W / 91L events
Realized PnL
$-149
Win Rate
47%
82W / 91L
Profit Factor
0.33x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $286 (1.9129386552370746% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$256
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 10?$20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$9
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$7
Istanbul: Polina Iatcenko vs Storm Hunter$7
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$7
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkova$5
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin Yao$5
Istanbul: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Alice Tubello$4

Top Losers

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$-271
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-174
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$-172
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-161
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$-141
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-68
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-59
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-27
Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Jiajing Lu$-23
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$-17

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.246
Sortino
-0.180
HHI
313
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.132
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9%
Top-5 markets
27.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 628s — normal for humanCV 2.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal1.9 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.77
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.3%
Mid (20-55c)14.2%
High (>55c)76.6%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 8:47:35 PM2 trades$5420 min
7/30/2026, 10:51:56 PM2 trades$4540 min
7/26/2026, 10:50:19 PM4 trades$4500 min
5/12/2026, 4:29:56 PM6 trades$4332 min
7/18/2026, 10:22:52 PM2 trades$4280 min
7/16/2026, 6:12:25 PM8 trades$4240 min
7/11/2026, 1:02:17 PM6 trades$3601 min
7/28/2026, 11:19:46 AM6 trades$2970 min
6/30/2026, 3:27:38 PM4 trades$2723 min
8/1/2026, 1:35:15 PM9 trades$2700 min
7/22/2026, 4:24:43 PM7 trades$2490 min
5/12/2026, 3:09:08 AM14 trades$2400 min
6/28/2026, 2:27:23 PM4 trades$2030 min
6/28/2026, 3:28:41 PM2 trades$1800 min
5/12/2026, 11:00:26 AM2 trades$1530 min
7/25/2026, 12:54:33 PM2 trades$1500 min
7/21/2026, 11:55:09 PM2 trades$1240 min
5/22/2026, 12:52:38 PM8 trades$1247 min
5/19/2026, 3:41:06 PM2 trades$1180 min
7/17/2026, 12:23:24 PM4 trades$1120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-03
05-11
05-22
06-12
06-28
07-11
07-26
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.3 / M14.2 / H76.6