@fedelittu

#146,79247

0xd995fc244e3ebd6ce42f7044922ae83ded73fe67

~23d· 48 markets · 168 tradesVol: $8,0882026-08-04 18:54:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (8/27)0/20
1.28x (win $727 / loss $568)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.77715/15
Sortino 3.44710/10
$+0.0703 per $1 invested3.5/10
HHI 882 (27 markets)8.1/10
6/13 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 119% of peak ($432 / $363)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+295
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#34,933$316Vol: $5,114
⚽ SPORTS#342,398$4Vol: $2,826
💰 FINANCE#595,580$-20Vol: $133
💻 TECH#217,007$-5Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$295
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,088
Total Redeem
$688
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
86B / 82S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$295
Vol: $8,088

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
8W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$295
Win Rate
30%
8W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$91
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $543 (1.8380007449798517% of PnL)

Top Winners

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$304
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$120
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$119
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$89
Will Como finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?$55
Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?$16
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$13
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$10

Top Losers

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-120
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-60
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$-40
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?$-40
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$-40
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
Will Trump visit China by June 30?$-40
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.089
Sortino
0.237
HHI
422
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.104
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.2%
Top-5 markets
38.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
42
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 140s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.59
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.7%
Mid (20-55c)24.4%
High (>55c)27.9%

Sessions

#12
4/12/2026, 8:35:01 PM12 trades$4035 min
5/2/2026, 9:04:18 AM16 trades$3985 min
4/15/2026, 9:29:00 PM9 trades$3771 min
6/22/2026, 5:50:08 AM9 trades$3632 min
4/26/2026, 8:00:14 AM16 trades$3172 min
5/2/2026, 9:18:58 AM4 trades$2572 min
7/17/2026, 8:44:09 AM14 trades$2452 min
4/10/2026, 9:22:51 AM12 trades$2350 min
4/12/2026, 9:05:17 PM2 trades$2000 min
3/22/2026, 3:46:01 PM2 trades$1751 min
5/25/2026, 7:37:51 AM2 trades$1640 min
5/1/2026, 1:02:16 PM4 trades$1611 min
4/15/2026, 7:03:44 PM4 trades$1352 min
5/1/2026, 10:53:30 AM5 trades$1340 min
2/23/2026, 10:32:14 AM1 trades$1130 min
2/19/2026, 6:31:20 PM2 trades$1103 min
2/19/2026, 6:04:26 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/4/2026, 8:32:43 AM2 trades$1000 min
3/22/2026, 6:42:29 PM1 trades$1000 min
5/1/2026, 9:49:30 AM4 trades$903 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-19
03-01
03-14
04-10
04-15
05-01
06-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.59/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.7 / M24.4 / H27.9