@Whatisalpha

#3,023,62432

0xd9bd38055a518bb527c830a546555ec1af9722f6

~22d· 45 markets · 154 tradesVol: $33,8462026-08-04 21:51:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (21/35)15/20
0.22x (win $810 / loss $3,637)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0860/15
Sortino -4.9790/10
$-0.2485 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 819 (35 markets)8.4/10
9/14 profitable days (64%)8.6/10
Max DD 667% of peak ($3,325 / $498)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Consistent
9/14 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,628,532$-2,584Vol: $28,201
📈 ECONOMICS#47,625$8Vol: $3,135
SPORTS#1,792,771$-461Vol: $1,660
CRYPTO#344,998$3Vol: $800
💰 FINANCE#55,534$10Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,025
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,846
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
126B / 28S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$23
Vol: $0
Week
$19
Vol: $0
Month
$14
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,025
Vol: $33,846

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
21W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-3,025
Win Rate
60%
21W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.22x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-260

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $668 (0.22078776497970087% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$396
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$242
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$30
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$30
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$21
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025?$20
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$18
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$10
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?$10
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$7

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$-1,177
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-939
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$-755
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-300
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-154
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers$-105
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$-68
Heat vs. Pacers$-37
Jazz vs. Warriors$-30
Thunder vs. Grizzlies$-24

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.257
Sortino
-0.168
HHI
626
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.280
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.4%
Top-5 markets
48.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 286s — normal for humanCV 1.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.49
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.5%
Mid (20-55c)27.8%
High (>55c)62.7%

Sessions

#12
1/20/2026, 1:58:50 PM5 trades$1,34910 min
2/17/2026, 8:41:39 AM4 trades$1,0132 min
1/29/2026, 12:08:12 AM3 trades$8835 min
2/17/2026, 4:16:05 AM2 trades$8001 min
1/3/2026, 4:52:21 PM2 trades$7975 min
1/27/2026, 1:39:45 PM1 trades$7380 min
1/28/2026, 11:56:16 PM1 trades$7130 min
1/10/2026, 2:45:08 AM3 trades$6562 min
1/17/2026, 7:50:52 AM4 trades$6177 min
2/17/2026, 9:09:29 AM3 trades$5253 min
1/12/2026, 10:52:47 PM4 trades$4908 min
7/11/2026, 9:04:43 PM9 trades$4462 min
1/15/2026, 12:38:10 PM2 trades$3402 min
1/17/2026, 10:28:04 AM2 trades$3210 min
1/15/2026, 12:13:24 PM2 trades$2985 min
1/16/2026, 9:57:54 AM1 trades$2880 min
1/13/2026, 12:29:51 PM2 trades$2761 min
1/4/2026, 12:17:53 AM1 trades$2550 min
1/12/2026, 11:11:11 PM5 trades$2546 min
1/15/2026, 1:12:20 PM4 trades$2471 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-03
01-10
01-13
01-15
01-17
01-28
02-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 164 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.49/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.5 / M27.8 / H62.7