@0xD9C9F8…5912

#2,863,44228

0xd9c9f846b0af4ff941cd290d72ea67f8f51f7c08

~21d· 46 markets · 239 tradesVol: $26,9742026-08-05 03:22:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (23/41)13/20
0.34x (win $1,589 / loss $4,640)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1680/15
Sortino -4.1570/10
$-0.2637 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 875 (41 markets)8.1/10
9/16 profitable days (56%)6.6/10
Max DD 771% of peak ($4,225 / $548)0/10

Badges

2
DCA Master
Avg 6.4 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#146,300$66Vol: $16,130
🏛️ POLITICS#1,606,526$-668Vol: $10,696
📈 ECONOMICS#18,510$48Vol: $148

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-553
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,974
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
46
total markets
Trades
92B / 147S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$-9
Vol: $0
Week
$-44
Vol: $0
Month
$-79
Vol: $0
All Time
$-553
Vol: $26,974

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
23W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-553
Win Rate
56%
23W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$69
Avg Loss
$-422

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $664 (1.2005713045993638% of PnL)

Top Winners

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?$257
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$225
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$182
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$170
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$166
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$135
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$97
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$85
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$77
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$56

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,972
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-970
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$-672
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-578
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-320
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$-80
Will Adidas be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Ball winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-21
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-18
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-4
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.211
Sortino
-0.141
HHI
1426
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.210
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.3%
Top-5 markets
69.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.9m
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 176s — normal for humanCV 1.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.44
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.9%
Mid (20-55c)5.4%
High (>55c)83.7%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 12:13:39 PM15 trades$2,2013 min
7/4/2026, 1:16:32 AM6 trades$1,5910 min
6/30/2026, 11:31:59 PM4 trades$1,5802 min
4/26/2026, 1:42:48 AM10 trades$1,5358 min
7/7/2026, 5:32:44 PM13 trades$1,4495 min
7/7/2026, 5:48:49 PM17 trades$1,2960 min
6/22/2026, 12:06:23 AM20 trades$1,22010 min
6/14/2026, 2:13:58 AM9 trades$8264 min
6/3/2026, 2:12:07 AM4 trades$8021 min
5/27/2026, 5:11:03 PM9 trades$7420 min
6/8/2026, 3:24:27 PM3 trades$7090 min
6/1/2026, 11:27:22 PM3 trades$6000 min
6/27/2026, 8:52:25 PM2 trades$6000 min
6/1/2026, 8:39:23 PM2 trades$5880 min
4/19/2026, 5:11:04 PM14 trades$4354 min
5/2/2026, 1:20:18 AM4 trades$4271 min
6/23/2026, 10:50:58 PM8 trades$4004 min
7/7/2026, 5:59:20 PM6 trades$3810 min
4/26/2026, 2:22:32 AM6 trades$3444 min
6/1/2026, 8:48:07 PM2 trades$3190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-19
05-24
06-01
06-03
06-22
06-27
06-30
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.9 / M5.4 / H83.7