@thiagofelipe

#2,966,71640

0xda25452547d537e7196e2655b31773c5fc3babaf

~196d· 783 markets · 1819 tradesVol: $102,571 @thiagofelipe1_2026-08-05 00:40:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (653/775)20/20
0.63x (win $4,659 / loss $7,453)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5130/15
Sortino -2.6550/10
$-0.0651 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 43 (775 markets)10/10
128/188 profitable days (68%)9.5/10
Max DD 3362% of peak ($2,926 / $87)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Consistent
128/188 profitable days
Win Streak
28 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,843,021$-1,447Vol: $80,696
CRYPTO#425,018$1Vol: $13,546
🏛️ POLITICS#212,659$5Vol: $3,279
📢 MENTIONS#150,270$-31Vol: $2,300
🎭 CULTURE#108,538$3Vol: $1,128
📈 ECONOMICS#615,507$-15Vol: $957
💰 FINANCE#537,242$-4Vol: $251
🌤️ WEATHER#27,066$7Vol: $102

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,460
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$102,571
Total Redeem
$1,992
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
783
total markets
Trades
1058B / 761S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~196d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $55
Week
$3
Vol: $180
Month
$16
Vol: $192
All Time
$-1,460
Vol: $102,571

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
653W / 122L events
Realized PnL
$-1,460
Win Rate
84%
653W / 122L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-70

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $570 (0.3904639881604911% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?$250
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?$186
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$134
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?$128
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$119
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-24?$109
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-05?$106
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-15?$106
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$104
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$82

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-501
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-420
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5$-390
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?$-372
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-03?$-340
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-295
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?$-249
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-14?$-202
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-02?$-200
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-05?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.131
Sortino
-0.091
HHI
36
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.064
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
6.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
31.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1896s — normal for humanCV 1.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal3.2 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.41
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.1%
Mid (20-55c)3.6%
High (>55c)92.3%

Sessions

#12
5/18/2026, 7:52:51 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/14/2026, 1:38:27 AM5 trades$9562 min
4/27/2026, 1:37:18 PM6 trades$8941 min
3/7/2026, 11:44:15 AM4 trades$5508 min
4/1/2026, 12:40:27 AM6 trades$5364 min
5/2/2026, 9:07:24 PM2 trades$5000 min
2/23/2026, 1:20:30 PM1 trades$4480 min
5/2/2026, 10:33:54 PM4 trades$4212 min
3/5/2026, 8:59:29 PM3 trades$4095 min
3/6/2026, 7:00:23 PM1 trades$4000 min
3/31/2026, 7:51:55 PM8 trades$3912 min
2/21/2026, 1:55:48 PM1 trades$3870 min
2/19/2026, 3:23:18 PM2 trades$3853 min
2/17/2026, 12:35:15 PM3 trades$3812 min
3/13/2026, 12:36:05 PM2 trades$3302 min
2/24/2026, 1:22:42 PM2 trades$3302 min
5/3/2026, 11:28:50 PM6 trades$3180 min
5/2/2026, 10:59:22 PM11 trades$3172 min
5/14/2026, 1:23:33 AM12 trades$3108 min
2/18/2026, 12:38:42 PM1 trades$3000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-03
02-08
03-12
04-12
05-15
06-17
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 143 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.1 / M3.6 / H92.3