@Castiell

#79,68577

0xda58787f4cdf052a58c7c560cf8acbe4a4e64e79

~90d· 1124 markets · 11123 tradesVol: $1,560,477 @Castiel326730842026-08-04 19:43:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (801/1120)20/20
1.39x (win $2,786 / loss $2,004)7.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.14615/15
Sortino 6.15010/10
$+0.0014 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 33 (1120 markets)10/10
72/86 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 48% of peak ($374 / $782)4.4/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Profitable
PnL $+1,034
DCA Master
Avg 10.0 entries/market
Whale
$577,362 invested
Consistent
72/86 profitable days
High Roller
$4,772/day
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#1,488$1,115Vol: $1,551,807
SPORTS#1,647,915$-77Vol: $4,714
🎭 CULTURE#574,519$-2Vol: $3,859
CRYPTO#891,647$-1Vol: $28
🏛️ POLITICS#409,792$0Vol: $23
📈 ECONOMICS#102,853$1Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,034
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,560,477
Total Redeem
$210
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1124
total markets
Trades
5752B / 5371S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~90d

Periods

#2
Today
$11
Vol: $20,086
Week
$21
Vol: $53,254
Month
$62
Vol: $72,823
All Time
$1,034
Vol: $1,560,477

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
801W / 319L events
Realized PnL
$1,034
Win Rate
72%
801W / 319L
Profit Factor
1.39x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $229 (0.2216990708961357% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 10?$115
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 9?$64
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?$51
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 10?$50
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 8?$48
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 10?$42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 11?$42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 10?$41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?$38
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 13?$37

Top Losers

Timberwolves vs. Spurs$-150
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 10?$-90
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 9?$-39
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 10?$-32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 8?$-31
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?$-30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 11?$-30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?$-30
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 10?$-28

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.216
Sortino
0.163
HHI
37
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
6.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
91.9
Very active
Markets / Day
9.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.1m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
47.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 140s — normal for humanCV 2.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock92 trades/day — mass trading9.3 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.95
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.8%
Mid (20-55c)5.3%
High (>55c)93.9%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 2:16:12 PM54 trades$8,33218 min
6/17/2026, 10:37:29 AM70 trades$8,32043 min
6/13/2026, 2:23:48 PM108 trades$8,16521 min
6/5/2026, 1:22:12 PM24 trades$7,36820 min
6/16/2026, 10:26:50 PM96 trades$7,20752 min
6/8/2026, 1:29:45 PM133 trades$7,18318 min
6/7/2026, 1:47:27 PM124 trades$6,98327 min
6/14/2026, 1:47:12 PM63 trades$6,82540 min
6/12/2026, 10:40:00 AM80 trades$6,61946 min
6/18/2026, 10:05:28 PM54 trades$6,30521 min
6/6/2026, 12:35:22 PM101 trades$5,99721 min
7/12/2026, 2:21:34 PM20 trades$5,9662 min
6/17/2026, 11:35:49 PM80 trades$5,87731 min
6/20/2026, 1:37:58 AM28 trades$5,7849 min
6/19/2026, 5:36:13 PM41 trades$5,69019 min
6/15/2026, 3:14:31 PM48 trades$5,27116 min
6/15/2026, 1:54:34 PM59 trades$5,13220 min
6/10/2026, 1:40:09 PM52 trades$4,94011 min
6/11/2026, 1:47:42 AM66 trades$4,89337 min
6/17/2026, 9:41:35 PM35 trades$4,8456 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-06
05-07
06-03
06-17
07-03
07-17
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
90% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.8 / M5.3 / H93.9