@alphaleaks

#2,733,64422

0xda7a61a9c0a5b59428d307ba9667bbc31480b0d9

~48d· 123 markets · 177 tradesVol: $2,4502026-08-05 15:51:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (58/121)9/20
0.53x (win $267 / loss $504)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4040/15
Sortino -3.4050/10
$-0.2775 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 516 (121 markets)9.9/10
18/41 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 549% of peak ($309 / $56)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
62% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#1,507,184$-27Vol: $1,106
🌤️ WEATHER#210,030$-2Vol: $863
🏛️ POLITICS#1,560,021$-194Vol: $327
₿ CRYPTO#925,128$-2Vol: $144
📈 ECONOMICS#474,470$-1Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-226
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,450
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
123
total markets
Trades
143B / 34S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $7
Week
$-0
Vol: $7
Month
$-0
Vol: $7
All Time
$-226
Vol: $2,450

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
58W / 63L events
Realized PnL
$-226
Win Rate
48%
58W / 63L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $46 (0.2053792981212336% of PnL)

Top Winners

Knicks vs. Bulls$16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?$16
Magic vs. Hawks$14
Heat vs. Clippers$14
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers$13
Raptors vs. Hawks$12
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 12?$10
Jazz vs. Hornets$9
76ers vs. Bulls$9
Trail Blazers vs. Heat$8

Top Losers

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$-200
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 20?$-20
Trail Blazers vs. Magic$-20
Bulls vs. Bucks$-10
Warriors vs. Kings$-10
Pistons vs. Grizzlies$-10
Celtics vs. 76ers$-10
Kings vs. Bucks$-10
Jazz vs. Suns$-10
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.176
Sortino
-0.140
HHI
627
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.283
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.5%
Top-5 markets
31.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 118s — normal for humanCV 2.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.42
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.6%
Mid (20-55c)42.7%
High (>55c)37.8%

Sessions

#12
2/8/2026, 7:03:25 AM1 trades$2000 min
5/11/2026, 4:12:51 AM2 trades$1370 min
6/20/2026, 12:04:02 PM13 trades$639 min
10/31/2025, 5:09:31 PM5 trades$503 min
11/2/2025, 5:51:35 PM4 trades$402 min
11/7/2025, 6:18:59 PM4 trades$402 min
11/1/2025, 7:10:53 PM4 trades$351 min
11/4/2025, 9:05:55 PM4 trades$356 min
11/3/2025, 6:17:47 PM4 trades$301 min
6/21/2026, 1:01:46 PM4 trades$271 min
10/25/2025, 6:27:55 PM3 trades$251 min
11/9/2025, 5:26:43 PM6 trades$223 min
10/24/2025, 8:14:11 PM4 trades$202 min
10/26/2025, 4:43:15 PM3 trades$203 min
10/28/2025, 5:34:51 PM4 trades$207 min
10/29/2025, 8:35:11 PM4 trades$204 min
11/5/2025, 6:49:49 PM2 trades$201 min
11/5/2025, 6:56:17 PM2 trades$203 min
11/10/2025, 5:42:24 PM1 trades$200 min
11/8/2025, 6:44:55 PM6 trades$182 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-04
10-28
11-03
11-10
12-29
02-28
03-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 228 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.42/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L19.6 / M42.7 / H37.8