@junkbonds
#1,968850xdaad6f960d507dba148c1ff908db5a28743169cc
~217d· 205 markets · 2143 tradesVol: $6,142,0402026-08-03 18:37:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
74% (142/193)20/20
1.78x (win $178,284 / loss $100,284)12.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.52215/15
Sortino 3.83310/10
$+0.0274 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 194 (193 markets)10/10
102/132 profitable days (77%)10/10
Max DD 38% of peak ($34,178 / $89,594)6.4/10
Badges
9Sniper
Win rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+90,801
DCA Master
Avg 10.3 entries/market
Whale
$2,851,452 invested
Consistent
102/132 profitable days
High Roller
$3,703/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,605,198$-693Vol: $3,324,006
🎭 CULTURE#203$37,766Vol: $1,171,985
🌤️ WEATHER#21$51,404Vol: $889,637
₿ CRYPTO#7,386$6,611Vol: $335,476
⚽ SPORTS#98,247$156Vol: $197,638
📈 ECONOMICS#8,061$209Vol: $88,350
📢 MENTIONS#2,805$356Vol: $16,273
💰 FINANCE#1,811$2,794Vol: $15,325
💻 TECH#14,350$17Vol: $8,227
Overview
#1Net PnL
$98,760
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,142,040
Total Redeem
$14,000
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
205
total markets
Trades
1468B / 675S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~217d
Periods
#2Today
$8,110
Vol: $994
Week
$8,110
Vol: $14,580
Month
$6,011
Vol: $16,927
All Time
$98,760
Vol: $6,142,040
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
74%
142W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$90,801
Win Rate
74%
142W / 51L
Profit Factor
1.78x
Avg Win
$1,256
Avg Loss
$-2,134
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53,534 (0.5895761224906048% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?$21,028
2024 July hottest on record?$16,451
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?$16,055
Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$12,453
2024 August hottest on record?$11,058
2024 September hottest on record?$8,066
Israel military action against Iraq before November?$7,641
2024 October hottest on record?$7,064
Will Sydney Sweeney break up with her fiancé before April?$6,938
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?$6,518
Top Losers
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?$-25,942
Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$-13,740
Yoon arrested by January 31?$-13,263
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$-10,574
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$-8,674
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?$-8,501
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $78m and $85m?$-3,339
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?$-2,989
Will the US strike Iran next?$-2,010
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?$-1,970
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.132
Sortino
0.101
HHI
168
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4%
Top-5 markets
16.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 124s — normal for humanCV 3.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.32
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)28.3%
Mid (20-55c)18%
High (>55c)53.7%
Sessions
#124/28/2026, 8:45:52 PM2 trades$66,6290 min
8/22/2024, 8:13:17 PM6 trades$65,8645 min
12/21/2024, 1:10:16 AM1 trades$62,5180 min
12/19/2024, 10:25:14 PM69 trades$62,32045 min
10/28/2024, 11:07:42 PM9 trades$60,6731 min
3/17/2025, 7:31:12 AM1 trades$57,2700 min
3/16/2025, 10:05:12 AM2 trades$57,1853 min
10/21/2024, 10:43:29 AM1 trades$57,0870 min
10/15/2024, 5:50:21 PM16 trades$56,86018 min
10/7/2024, 9:12:53 PM1 trades$56,7460 min
11/23/2024, 12:10:43 AM1 trades$56,5700 min
10/1/2024, 11:46:24 AM1 trades$56,2350 min
11/18/2024, 2:28:58 PM1 trades$56,0040 min
11/29/2024, 3:40:35 AM1 trades$54,8060 min
11/30/2024, 5:04:08 PM5 trades$53,6271 min
10/7/2024, 5:06:47 AM2 trades$52,1714 min
10/22/2024, 12:00:00 AM2 trades$50,1523 min
11/14/2025, 8:00:46 AM1 trades$49,9500 min
11/26/2025, 10:55:05 PM1 trades$49,8000 min
8/19/2024, 5:24:11 PM1 trades$45,4120 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-25
10-22
02-11
06-03
11-05
04-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 84 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.3 / M18 / H53.7