@northerndancer
#3,074,019730xdac7c8e3941162ca3f8b378eafaa2b3696596d53
~18d· 52 markets · 3569 tradesVol: $6,846,8842026-08-04 19:45:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (22/52)6.2/20
1.64x (win $701,492 / loss $427,759)10.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.15515/15
Sortino 10.82010/10
$+0.2537 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 587 (52 markets)9.6/10
8/16 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 35% of peak ($112,480 / $321,278)7/10
Badges
6Contrarian
87% entries < $0.55
Whale
$1,078,798 invested
High Roller
$46,904/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,885,329$-145,418Vol: $6,846,884
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-145,418
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,846,884
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
3165B / 404S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
22W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-145,418
Win Rate
42%
22W / 30L
Profit Factor
1.64x
Avg Win
$31,886
Avg Loss
$-14,259
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $275,282 (1.8930409504353625% of PnL)
Top Winners
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)$113,314
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$82,500
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$79,468
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)$67,099
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$67,027
Spread: France (-2.5)$43,000
Spread: France (-1.5)$36,735
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$35,000
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$31,515
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)$28,879
Top Losers
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-98,480
Spread: France (-3.5)$-35,000
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$-27,936
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$-25,490
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$-25,250
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)$-18,711
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$-15,750
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$-14,499
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$-14,000
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5$-12,750
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.261
Sortino
0.601
HHI
601
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.254
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.4%
Top-5 markets
47.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
155.2
Very active
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.7m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
49.6
Bot Detection
#675
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
60% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 7.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock155 trades/day — automation2.3 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
68.67
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)7.2%
Mid (20-55c)80.2%
High (>55c)12.6%
Sessions
#126/23/2026, 5:53:49 PM67 trades$183,4284 min
6/22/2026, 8:56:05 PM12 trades$100,2644 min
7/10/2026, 6:49:02 PM2 trades$100,0000 min
6/23/2026, 5:25:01 AM29 trades$86,0121 min
6/23/2026, 5:14:41 AM21 trades$75,1950 min
7/7/2026, 12:58:46 AM27 trades$66,4580 min
7/1/2026, 9:52:53 PM31 trades$66,4240 min
7/1/2026, 8:56:02 PM41 trades$59,8400 min
6/25/2026, 4:43:28 AM57 trades$47,5902 min
7/5/2026, 6:29:38 PM3 trades$47,5000 min
6/21/2026, 6:38:53 PM56 trades$38,83912 min
6/26/2026, 5:20:34 PM9 trades$34,0143 min
6/25/2026, 10:42:59 PM11 trades$31,2009 min
6/29/2026, 9:28:46 PM40 trades$30,65717 min
7/5/2026, 4:56:31 PM8 trades$30,0000 min
6/24/2026, 2:30:52 PM95 trades$29,67424 min
6/26/2026, 1:27:34 PM49 trades$24,6544 min
6/22/2026, 8:07:43 PM21 trades$21,3297 min
6/27/2026, 11:55:16 PM31 trades$20,4040 min
6/24/2026, 10:01:23 PM2 trades$20,0000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-20
06-22
06-24
06-26
06-29
07-02
07-09
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 68.67/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L7.2 / M80.2 / H12.6