50DRE

@50DRE

#2,985,72113

0xdaf3fd565128b8161f87f037ad9b0be2c16c57f7

~97d· 183 markets · 1348 tradesVol: $133,4582026-08-05 16:34:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (50/148)1.9/20
0.54x (win $2,465 / loss $4,576)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0200/15
Sortino -3.3510/10
$-0.1484 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 341 (148 markets)10/10
21/60 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 471% of peak ($2,730 / $579)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,625,205$-1,680Vol: $128,443
💻 TECH#71,781$0Vol: $3,772
CRYPTO#1,343,262$-35Vol: $610
📢 MENTIONS#37,704$1Vol: $237
📈 ECONOMICS#590,815$-8Vol: $127
SPORTS#783,701$-0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,764
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$133,458
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
183
total markets
Trades
793B / 555S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~97d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $61
Week
$-33
Vol: $256
Month
$-33
Vol: $552
All Time
$-1,764
Vol: $133,458

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
50W / 98L events
Realized PnL
$-1,764
Win Rate
34%
50W / 98L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$49
Avg Loss
$-47

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,021 (0.5785915077871733% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?$402
Will Russia enter Kostyantynivka by October 31?$315
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by February 28?$304
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?$278
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$160
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$137
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$131
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$104
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?$100
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?$86

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-537
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?$-393
Will Russia capture Lyman by November 30?$-348
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?$-343
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by November 30?$-330
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?$-325
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-193
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?$-190
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$-170
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-133

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.157
Sortino
-0.156
HHI
359
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.138
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
31.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 182s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.57
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.6%
Mid (20-55c)44.1%
High (>55c)13.2%

Sessions

#12
10/28/2025, 3:14:51 PM9 trades$9334 min
4/7/2026, 10:37:47 PM31 trades$93110 min
10/25/2025, 4:20:55 AM1 trades$8870 min
4/7/2026, 7:47:43 PM38 trades$6088 min
11/24/2025, 6:08:37 PM1 trades$5330 min
10/25/2025, 4:27:35 AM5 trades$5015 min
7/6/2026, 1:34:37 AM28 trades$4389 min
4/2/2026, 6:46:41 PM21 trades$4234 min
7/29/2026, 12:20:26 PM12 trades$4135 min
3/8/2026, 2:30:55 PM12 trades$37712 min
2/25/2026, 9:29:28 PM1 trades$3640 min
2/25/2026, 9:40:08 PM2 trades$3200 min
10/25/2025, 6:17:31 PM2 trades$3121 min
7/29/2026, 6:49:06 PM8 trades$2804 min
10/17/2025, 12:27:57 AM4 trades$2564 min
4/4/2026, 6:50:31 PM8 trades$2470 min
7/7/2026, 9:39:11 PM10 trades$2310 min
3/7/2026, 12:39:39 PM11 trades$22815 min
3/26/2026, 8:52:23 PM5 trades$22111 min
4/7/2026, 12:11:17 PM13 trades$2206 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-21
10-19
11-23
03-04
03-21
04-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 272 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.6 / M44.1 / H13.2