@Ampolo42

#193,38914

0xdb1511ff7a80b9e77d2c74919910ed7d4bff3390

~21d· 55 markets · 159 tradesVol: $15,1972026-08-04 22:43:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (11/26)6.2/20
0.34x (win $88 / loss $258)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3350/15
Sortino -4.2610/10
$-0.5308 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1299 (26 markets)6/10
5/14 profitable days (36%)1.4/10
Max DD 1012% of peak ($203 / $20)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+157
Lottery Player
74% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
🎭 CULTURE#15,548$164Vol: $11,053
⚽ SPORTS#1,304,148$-8Vol: $3,893
🏛️ POLITICS#362,530$1Vol: $145

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$157
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,197
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
76B / 83S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $207
Week
$-9
Vol: $396
Month
$-7
Vol: $426
All Time
$157
Vol: $15,197

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
11W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$157
Win Rate
42%
11W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-37

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $47 (0.29748327492832116% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$19
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$14
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$13
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$13
Will England win on 2026-06-27?$10
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$10
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$4
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$2
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$1
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$1

Top Losers

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-139
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$-64
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-30
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$-20
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$-2
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?$-2
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.219
Sortino
-0.122
HHI
891
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.581
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.8%
Top-5 markets
53.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
40
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 153s — normal for humanCV 1.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.92
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)73.7%
Mid (20-55c)9.2%
High (>55c)17.1%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 6:37:16 AM3 trades$2000 min
7/20/2026, 3:58:57 PM20 trades$19712 min
6/21/2026, 9:19:56 PM15 trades$1927 min
6/25/2026, 9:44:19 PM2 trades$1790 min
6/20/2026, 9:50:37 PM3 trades$910 min
7/30/2026, 7:43:44 AM35 trades$7112 min
6/25/2026, 9:34:29 PM2 trades$690 min
8/4/2026, 4:50:24 AM6 trades$571 min
6/22/2026, 8:07:29 PM2 trades$380 min
6/29/2026, 6:58:05 PM2 trades$310 min
6/21/2026, 8:50:58 PM2 trades$290 min
7/8/2026, 4:49:41 AM2 trades$220 min
6/20/2026, 8:36:56 PM2 trades$200 min
6/21/2026, 8:29:44 PM3 trades$180 min
6/20/2026, 7:24:10 PM2 trades$150 min
7/6/2026, 10:06:17 PM2 trades$80 min
6/29/2026, 9:56:44 PM2 trades$70 min
6/22/2026, 5:20:43 PM2 trades$40 min
7/6/2026, 8:57:49 PM2 trades$40 min
7/15/2026, 8:28:44 PM4 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-20
06-22
06-29
07-08
07-10
07-16
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.92/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L73.7 / M9.2 / H17.1