@0xdb54…8c93
130xdb547fbcb69fc770b27ebd21d6b2d568cb518c93
~18d· 28 markets · 208 trades2026-08-04 23:53:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (10/28)2.9/20
0.25x (win $2,453 / loss $10,010)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.1560/15
Sortino -5.9500/10
$-0.3939 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 892 (28 markets)8/10
6/15 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 3159% of peak ($7,825 / $248)0/10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-428
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,184
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
56B / 152S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
10W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-428
Win Rate
36%
10W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$245
Avg Loss
$-556
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,222 (2.8556737174243305% of PnL)
Top Winners
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5$452
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5$389
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 1.5$381
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5$326
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5$296
Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5$233
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5$209
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5$82
France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 0.5$66
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$20
Top Losers
Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5$-2,268
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5$-2,047
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5$-1,747
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5$-972
England vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 0.5$-453
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5$-395
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5$-336
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5$-248
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-200
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First Half$-200
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.311
Sortino
-0.266
HHI
1006
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.394
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.5%
Top-5 markets
61.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
8.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
50.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3012s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)43% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule8 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.43
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.8%
Mid (20-55c)25%
High (>55c)73.2%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 5:56:38 PM2 trades$4,3190 min
6/25/2026, 11:55:40 PM6 trades$3,1841 min
6/21/2026, 4:07:41 AM2 trades$2,3230 min
6/17/2026, 11:14:59 AM4 trades$2,1620 min
6/24/2026, 1:36:16 AM4 trades$1,9020 min
6/24/2026, 2:11:22 AM8 trades$1,8130 min
6/25/2026, 8:01:37 PM12 trades$1,5941 min
6/24/2026, 2:18:38 AM4 trades$1,5060 min
6/20/2026, 9:52:35 PM7 trades$1,4991 min
6/24/2026, 2:33:37 AM2 trades$1,3250 min
6/23/2026, 10:56:40 PM2 trades$1,2710 min
6/24/2026, 12:12:13 AM14 trades$1,0230 min
6/14/2026, 3:47:15 AM13 trades$9482 min
6/23/2026, 8:49:37 PM5 trades$8600 min
6/22/2026, 9:54:35 PM2 trades$7450 min
6/23/2026, 1:25:37 PM10 trades$7451 min
6/22/2026, 1:13:22 PM7 trades$6820 min
7/4/2026, 5:33:07 PM9 trades$6000 min
6/23/2026, 12:26:49 AM6 trades$5620 min
6/23/2026, 8:20:40 PM4 trades$4840 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-20
06-22
06-24
06-27
06-30
07-04
07-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.8 / M25 / H73.2