@romero.
#2,811,767140xdba19dae60aca68c85b3e725c19f0f797e1ed0e5
~39d· 210 markets · 1352 tradesVol: $24,6292026-08-04 16:55:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (34/94)3.1/20
0.63x (win $1,027 / loss $1,627)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1270/15
Sortino -4.6260/10
$-0.0574 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 229 (94 markets)10/10
9/27 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($813 / $0)0/10
Badges
1🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,526,616$-106Vol: $8,900
🎭 CULTURE#776,097$-85Vol: $5,860
💰 FINANCE#626,263$-66Vol: $4,061
📈 ECONOMICS#653,818$-70Vol: $2,931
💻 TECH#239,927$-30Vol: $1,727
⚽ SPORTS#1,258,757$-6Vol: $470
₿ CRYPTO#1,014,206$-4Vol: $440
🌤️ WEATHER#230,517$-5Vol: $120
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-374
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,629
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
210
total markets
Trades
911B / 441S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d
Periods
#2Today
$-2
Vol: $169
Week
$-10
Vol: $1,215
Month
$-21
Vol: $1,656
All Time
$-374
Vol: $24,629
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
34W / 60L events
Realized PnL
$-369
Win Rate
36%
34W / 60L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-28
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $430 (1.1674398415669678% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$182
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?$151
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$97
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?$61
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$52
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$45
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$42
Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?$40
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$33
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$30
Top Losers
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$-196
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$-193
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$-98
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?$-95
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?$-75
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$-68
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$-62
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?$-60
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-59
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$-54
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.212
Sortino
-0.236
HHI
51
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.123
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
11.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
29.4
Active
Markets / Day
4.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.0m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 445s — normal for humanCV 0.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency4.6 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.83
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.6%
Mid (20-55c)25%
High (>55c)69.4%
Sessions
#126/22/2026, 2:40:59 AM11 trades$19014 min
6/22/2026, 9:16:07 PM7 trades$16810 min
7/29/2026, 8:41:41 PM7 trades$1611 min
6/20/2026, 2:15:26 AM11 trades$1494 min
6/22/2026, 4:37:08 AM6 trades$14410 min
6/24/2026, 2:38:50 PM8 trades$1347 min
6/20/2026, 12:30:16 AM15 trades$13210 min
6/20/2026, 9:49:31 AM3 trades$1281 min
6/19/2026, 6:29:13 PM10 trades$1255 min
6/21/2026, 3:16:49 AM4 trades$1222 min
6/24/2026, 9:19:29 AM10 trades$1217 min
6/20/2026, 2:20:55 PM6 trades$1202 min
6/23/2026, 8:37:14 PM3 trades$1193 min
6/20/2026, 2:10:58 PM5 trades$1193 min
6/24/2026, 8:58:34 AM4 trades$1184 min
7/2/2026, 1:57:31 AM8 trades$1177 min
6/22/2026, 8:22:20 AM3 trades$1163 min
6/22/2026, 4:31:20 PM3 trades$1142 min
7/10/2026, 10:35:44 PM5 trades$1145 min
6/20/2026, 6:20:55 AM3 trades$1091 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-23
07-03
07-10
07-14
07-21
07-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.6 / M25 / H69.4