ElonSleep

@ElonSleep

#19,50061

0xdbf99963ba3e62c65a6870d0887d6f776e03b9cc

~43d· 61 markets · 453 tradesVol: $463,2442026-08-05 17:24:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (25/56)7.3/20
2.02x (win $3,932 / loss $1,945)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.79815/15
Sortino 5.00010/10
$+0.2920 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2346 (56 markets)0.8/10
15/36 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 86% of peak ($1,731 / $2,022)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+7,004
Lottery Player
64% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#1,217$6,727Vol: $458,122
🏛️ POLITICS#77,878$68Vol: $1,946
SPORTS#1,634,977$-69Vol: $1,670
💰 FINANCE#9,953$285Vol: $1,496
📢 MENTIONS#107,033$-4Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,007
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$463,244
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
61
total markets
Trades
271B / 182S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$64
Vol: $2,153
Week
$-5
Vol: $4,019
Month
$5
Vol: $4,019
All Time
$7,007
Vol: $463,244

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
25W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$7,005
Win Rate
45%
25W / 31L
Profit Factor
2.02x
Avg Win
$157
Avg Loss
$-78

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,729 (0.532364908273253% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$2,957
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$463
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$309
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$79
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$29
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$20
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?$16
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$5

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$-1,168
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$-335
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$-50
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$-48
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$-46
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$-42
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$-36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-36
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$-32
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.093
Sortino
0.188
HHI
674
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.306
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.8%
Top-5 markets
49.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 215s — normal for humanCV 2.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.82
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)64.2%
Mid (20-55c)2.6%
High (>55c)33.2%

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 12:47:07 PM13 trades$13,6730 min
6/23/2026, 3:39:59 PM9 trades$10,0130 min
7/27/2026, 2:15:24 PM3 trades$5,8110 min
5/6/2026, 2:41:40 AM17 trades$1,4001 min
3/30/2026, 11:37:23 PM6 trades$1,0132 min
8/3/2026, 5:42:45 PM6 trades$8410 min
4/26/2026, 1:06:12 AM18 trades$8030 min
7/7/2026, 3:46:07 PM15 trades$6404 min
4/5/2026, 4:43:27 PM16 trades$5492 min
4/29/2026, 5:29:02 PM1 trades$2470 min
4/4/2026, 9:34:31 PM16 trades$2400 min
4/20/2026, 3:31:54 AM3 trades$2260 min
7/7/2026, 3:29:47 PM5 trades$2233 min
7/23/2026, 9:53:34 PM13 trades$2180 min
6/23/2026, 7:31:35 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/27/2026, 3:08:06 AM2 trades$1960 min
5/3/2026, 1:23:56 AM2 trades$1950 min
7/5/2026, 9:50:23 PM6 trades$1706 min
5/3/2026, 2:25:14 AM5 trades$1380 min
7/23/2026, 10:40:22 PM6 trades$1323 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-06
05-01
05-14
07-08
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 79 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.82/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L64.2 / M2.6 / H33.2