@mthang

#2,989,07425

0xdc3117b4fa8ef91845fb1ab100ed91bcb9433fe8

~71d· 1875 markets · 5371 tradesVol: $93,8082026-08-04 18:11:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (864/1756)9.6/20
0.91x (win $4,814 / loss $5,280)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8940/15
Sortino -2.3780/10
$-0.0247 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 93 (1756 markets)10/10
30/65 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 2832% of peak ($838 / $30)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,593,496$-451Vol: $21,264
CRYPTO#1,534,558$-196Vol: $19,584
SPORTS#140,373$73Vol: $15,088
💰 FINANCE#650,912$-557Vol: $15,068
🌤️ WEATHER#292,532$-264Vol: $12,981
🎭 CULTURE#794,248$-197Vol: $3,777
💻 TECH#251,162$-136Vol: $2,858
📢 MENTIONS#161,126$-76Vol: $1,983
📈 ECONOMICS#643,868$-40Vol: $930

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,871
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$93,808
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1875
total markets
Trades
4413B / 958S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~71d

Periods

#2
Today
$-25
Vol: $783
Week
$-45
Vol: $2,384
Month
$-103
Vol: $3,297
All Time
$-1,871
Vol: $93,808

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
863W / 892L events
Realized PnL
$-1,871
Win Rate
49%
863W / 892L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $320 (0.17096282835840837% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$149
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23?$90
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$81
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$76
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 21?$64
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$61
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?$54
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$48
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?$47
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?$44

Top Losers

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$-265
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$-144
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-90
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-80
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-79
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of July 13 2026?$-64
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?$-52
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 22?$-52
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?$-50
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of June 15 2026?$-48

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.098
Sortino
-0.115
HHI
77
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
16.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
57.1
Very active
Markets / Day
19.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.5m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.4

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 240s — normal for humanCV 1.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock57 trades/day — mass trading20 markets/day — mass coverage82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.75
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.5%
Mid (20-55c)49.6%
High (>55c)44.9%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 4:37:49 PM69 trades$5366 min
6/10/2026, 10:05:55 PM40 trades$32511 min
5/3/2026, 1:47:40 PM4 trades$3033 min
6/19/2026, 7:15:50 PM51 trades$2670 min
5/3/2026, 1:35:06 PM5 trades$2653 min
6/18/2026, 8:42:02 PM22 trades$1999 min
6/18/2026, 12:09:19 AM29 trades$1760 min
7/22/2026, 1:11:55 PM30 trades$1660 min
5/6/2026, 9:50:16 AM120 trades$16462 min
5/6/2026, 10:56:56 AM118 trades$15670 min
5/4/2026, 11:05:16 AM2 trades$1440 min
6/21/2026, 2:44:19 PM13 trades$13316 min
6/14/2026, 8:53:52 PM8 trades$1178 min
6/14/2026, 1:16:13 PM20 trades$1116 min
6/14/2026, 7:40:51 PM11 trades$9816 min
6/20/2026, 4:44:46 PM3 trades$980 min
7/6/2026, 12:07:53 AM11 trades$9513 min
6/23/2026, 3:53:01 PM4 trades$940 min
6/15/2026, 1:25:07 PM12 trades$9011 min
6/13/2026, 12:48:01 PM14 trades$891 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-03
05-13
06-15
06-25
07-05
07-17
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 52 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
22% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.5 / M49.6 / H44.9