@0xdc4a48…8282

#475,57441

0xdc4a4859f266cfffb74b4512d0df243343bcdddc

~126d· 313 markets · 631 tradesVol: $3,5592026-08-04 23:40:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (247/295)20/20
0.90x (win $135 / loss $150)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7810/15
Sortino -0.9200/10
$-0.0087 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 68 (295 markets)10/10
81/108 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 134% of peak ($61 / $46)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+12
Consistent
81/108 profitable days
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#205,748$6Vol: $900
⚽ SPORTS#1,218,725$-5Vol: $884
💰 FINANCE#46,291$15Vol: $658
₿ CRYPTO#1,168,433$-11Vol: $632
🎭 CULTURE#81,680$7Vol: $344
🌤️ WEATHER#55,009$1Vol: $55
💻 TECH#199,158$-2Vol: $53
📈 ECONOMICS#136,798$1Vol: $21

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,559
Total Redeem
$5
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
313
total markets
Trades
424B / 207S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~126d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$12
Vol: $3,559

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
247W / 48L events
Realized PnL
$12
Win Rate
84%
247W / 48L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18 (1.5612848689771766% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$7
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $290 before 2026??$6
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$5
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$3
Maduro out in 2025?$3
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?$3
Nothing Ever Happens: December$2
US civil war before 2027?$2

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-12
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$-12
Will Tunisia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$-10
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$-8
Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?$-7
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $-6
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?$-5
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 31?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.041
Sortino
-0.035
HHI
57
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
9.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3812s — normal for humanCV 0.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.08
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.5%
Mid (20-55c)9.9%
High (>55c)86.6%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 8:11:44 PM16 trades$681 min
11/25/2025, 11:35:25 PM4 trades$456 min
11/26/2025, 4:02:27 PM4 trades$324 min
5/6/2026, 11:51:15 PM15 trades$317 min
6/1/2026, 11:36:57 AM10 trades$272 min
12/27/2025, 2:39:35 PM3 trades$264 min
12/12/2025, 3:18:28 AM4 trades$264 min
2/20/2026, 8:15:36 PM3 trades$264 min
3/16/2026, 9:06:07 AM5 trades$226 min
1/30/2026, 4:28:04 AM1 trades$220 min
5/30/2026, 11:50:41 AM2 trades$210 min
1/13/2026, 11:11:28 PM4 trades$216 min
12/24/2025, 4:54:27 PM1 trades$210 min
12/29/2025, 11:53:57 AM3 trades$215 min
6/8/2026, 7:42:01 AM7 trades$201 min
12/16/2025, 2:22:13 PM2 trades$201 min
12/16/2025, 8:23:01 AM3 trades$201 min
12/23/2025, 8:22:05 AM3 trades$203 min
1/5/2026, 12:39:09 AM6 trades$197 min
1/7/2026, 3:59:29 PM2 trades$181 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-25
12-18
01-08
01-27
02-20
04-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 106 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.5 / M9.9 / H86.6