@dayuer

#2,604,16336

0xdc6eb388b9589e859536d7705aa86a4bfba6b88e

~15d· 39 markets · 90 tradesVol: $10,9662026-08-04 23:40:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (30/39)20/20
0.09x (win $12 / loss $135)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.1140/15
Sortino -4.9440/10
$-0.0368 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1332 (39 markets)5.8/10
13/15 profitable days (87%)10/10
Max DD 2857% of peak ($132 / $5)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 77%
Consistent
13/15 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#624,545$-4Vol: $6,718
🏛️ POLITICS#280,340$2Vol: $2,000
📈 ECONOMICS#451,363$-1Vol: $1,504
🌤️ WEATHER#38,304$3Vol: $344
CRYPTO#1,493,102$-120Vol: $338
SPORTS#588,292$0Vol: $42
💰 FINANCE#160,578$1Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-119
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,966
Total Redeem
$10
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
51B / 39S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $14
Week
$-0
Vol: $14
Month
$-0
Vol: $14
All Time
$-119
Vol: $10,966

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
30W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-119
Win Rate
77%
30W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.09x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7 (0.05951277079996628% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$3
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$3
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$1
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?$1
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13?$0

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$-122
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$-2
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.259
Sortino
-0.103
HHI
1357
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.7%
Top-5 markets
72.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.7m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 230s — normal for humanCV 2.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)5.9%
High (>55c)94.1%

Sessions

#12
1/26/2026, 6:00:32 AM1 trades$7280 min
1/26/2026, 6:11:16 AM1 trades$7270 min
1/26/2026, 8:37:09 AM1 trades$5470 min
1/26/2026, 8:43:13 AM1 trades$5470 min
1/25/2026, 10:55:06 AM4 trades$5193 min
7/16/2026, 1:23:04 PM2 trades$4810 min
1/25/2026, 11:08:38 AM6 trades$3736 min
1/26/2026, 7:02:08 AM1 trades$3470 min
1/26/2026, 6:48:40 AM1 trades$3460 min
7/16/2026, 11:16:44 AM3 trades$2410 min
1/25/2026, 10:42:14 AM6 trades$2207 min
1/25/2026, 12:40:12 PM1 trades$1700 min
1/25/2026, 10:29:34 AM1 trades$1540 min
1/25/2026, 10:37:06 AM1 trades$1540 min
1/25/2026, 2:35:38 PM1 trades$1520 min
1/26/2026, 7:21:00 AM1 trades$1220 min
1/25/2026, 1:55:20 PM6 trades$753 min
1/25/2026, 11:25:00 AM2 trades$380 min
5/6/2026, 10:43:28 AM8 trades$223 min
1/26/2026, 9:28:51 AM1 trades$210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
02-02
03-21
04-02
05-06
06-12
07-15
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 113 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M5.9 / H94.1