@Lapala

#1,886,59042

0xdd1863c9e48c9d0bd3a6ff36592170af159dd7ca

~5d· 20 markets · 40 tradesVol: $1,5242026-08-05 18:39:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (13/20)17.5/20
1.59x (win $11 / loss $7)9.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.1581 per $1 invested7.9/10
HHI 8343 (20 markets)0/10
1/4 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($2 / $6)7.2/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Contrarian
77% entries < $0.55

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#214,668$-3Vol: $1,185
CRYPTO#1,119,098$-9Vol: $339

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-11
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,524
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
22B / 18S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~5d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
13W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-11
Win Rate
65%
13W / 7L
Profit Factor
1.59x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5 (0.4183583406884378% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 23?$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$0

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 24?$-2
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$-1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 16?$-1
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on March 23?$-1
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$-1
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 23?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.297
Sortino
4.761
HHI
609
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.152
Kelly %
31.9%
Half-Kelly
16.0%
Top-1 market
10.5%
Top-5 markets
39.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.27
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
18
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
HIGH
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 198s — normal for humanCV 0.27 — uniform order sizes8% night trades — normal pattern9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.1
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.6%
Mid (20-55c)63.6%
High (>55c)22.7%

Sessions

#12
7/15/2026, 6:26:55 PM5 trades$4810 min
3/21/2026, 11:02:09 PM15 trades$1824 min
3/21/2026, 3:01:37 PM2 trades$33 min
3/21/2026, 1:49:33 PM1 trades$30 min
3/22/2026, 4:36:53 PM1 trades$20 min
3/21/2026, 2:39:41 PM2 trades$24 min
3/21/2026, 11:32:55 PM2 trades$21 min
3/23/2026, 3:58:51 PM1 trades$20 min
3/22/2026, 12:00:41 AM2 trades$21 min
3/21/2026, 1:42:51 PM1 trades$20 min
3/23/2026, 3:48:59 PM1 trades$20 min
3/22/2026, 12:14:47 AM1 trades$10 min
3/19/2026, 7:49:59 PM1 trades$10 min
3/21/2026, 2:51:51 PM1 trades$10 min
3/21/2026, 11:48:41 PM1 trades$10 min
3/21/2026, 11:54:27 PM1 trades$10 min
3/22/2026, 4:10:05 PM1 trades$10 min
3/22/2026, 7:47:29 AM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
03-22
03-23
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 116 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
25% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.1/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L13.6 / M63.6 / H22.7