@Reckless9

#3,065,26423

0xddb1ecc4ddf67d6732630d5eea099f9ffa53ea72

~143d· 66 markets · 3293 tradesVol: $479,4482026-08-04 18:10:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (30/59)10.4/20
0.74x (win $54,311 / loss $73,527)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0010/15
Sortino -1.1200/10
$-0.0965 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1075 (59 markets)7.1/10
21/40 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 89894% of peak ($50,880 / $57)0/10

Badges

6
DCA Master
Avg 61.6 entries/market
Whale
$199,184 invested
High Roller
$1,016/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,672$-12,235Vol: $401,992
📢 MENTIONS#176,561$-4,335Vol: $27,662
💻 TECH#10,164$35Vol: $26,096
💰 FINANCE#22,734$65Vol: $6,092
SPORTS#96,756$162Vol: $3,183

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16,981
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$479,448
Total Redeem
$2,314
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
66
total markets
Trades
2235B / 1058S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~143d

Periods

#2
Today
$55
Vol: $20
Week
$-85
Vol: $1,560
Month
$165
Vol: $7,323
All Time
$-16,981
Vol: $479,448

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
30W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-16,981
Win Rate
51%
30W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$1,810
Avg Loss
$-2,626

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $43,220 (2.5452301759857536% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$20,433
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$15,736
Will Putin visit China by May 31?$7,051
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$3,261
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$2,072
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$1,869
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1,813
Will T1 Qualify to the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage$368
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$355
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$353

Top Losers

Will Trump visit China by March 31?$-36,562
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$-14,312
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$-7,158
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?$-7,124
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?$-4,400
Will a Team win MSI Without Dropping a Series?$-1,400
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?$-652
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-492
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$-438
Games Total: O/U 3.5$-254

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.052
Sortino
-0.040
HHI
1560
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.085
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.9%
Top-5 markets
81.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.3

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 286s — normal for humanCV 3.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active0.3 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
61.64
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.8%
Mid (20-55c)29%
High (>55c)63.2%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 11:46:21 AM8 trades$20,8813 min
5/13/2026, 9:42:29 AM147 trades$13,65355 min
5/15/2026, 4:02:25 AM2 trades$8,2620 min
4/16/2026, 5:45:58 AM10 trades$6,9152 min
5/15/2026, 9:36:08 AM9 trades$6,5423 min
5/17/2026, 12:51:47 AM3 trades$5,8372 min
8/1/2026, 2:36:27 PM2 trades$5,4500 min
3/15/2026, 11:11:09 PM13 trades$4,9603 min
3/30/2026, 2:28:54 AM2 trades$4,2170 min
5/14/2026, 1:51:24 AM44 trades$4,17816 min
4/25/2026, 11:57:16 PM17 trades$4,0101 min
3/17/2026, 4:22:55 PM38 trades$3,4698 min
7/17/2026, 3:20:12 AM7 trades$3,3190 min
3/26/2026, 2:35:59 AM1 trades$3,3000 min
4/2/2026, 3:39:47 PM23 trades$3,2003 min
5/15/2026, 3:50:43 AM10 trades$3,1870 min
3/9/2026, 9:43:55 AM6 trades$3,0430 min
5/8/2026, 4:06:16 PM4 trades$2,7810 min
5/17/2026, 8:15:10 AM8 trades$2,7002 min
5/16/2026, 9:06:47 AM11 trades$2,6201 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-04
03-17
04-24
05-14
06-07
06-22
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 29 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 61.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.8 / M29 / H63.2