@Appleyard

#2,086,45035

0xddb737611d25b1cead682639fe7dcf2e40420af6

~8d· 12 markets · 51 tradesVol: $16,4302026-08-04 16:21:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (2/3)18.3/20
1.38x (win $290 / loss $209)7.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0112 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 3820 (3 markets)0/10
2/3 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 261% of peak ($209 / $80)0/10

Badges

1
Consistent
2/3 profitable days

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#1,378,794$-20Vol: $16,430

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-20
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,430
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
34B / 17S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
2W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$-20
Win Rate
67%
2W / 1L
Profit Factor
1.38x
Avg Win
$145
Avg Loss
$-209

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $290 (14.27846229669788% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?$247
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$43

Top Losers

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?$-209

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.117
Sortino
inf
HHI
317
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.6%
Top-5 markets
24.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
42.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2540s — normal for humanCV 1.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.33
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)76.5%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 5:24:11 AM3 trades$9970 min
7/16/2026, 12:20:32 PM2 trades$6800 min
7/16/2026, 9:57:10 AM2 trades$6770 min
7/16/2026, 11:25:37 AM3 trades$5990 min
7/16/2026, 11:43:14 AM1 trades$5980 min
6/28/2026, 7:15:56 AM2 trades$5340 min
7/8/2026, 8:21:58 AM2 trades$5250 min
7/8/2026, 9:12:53 AM3 trades$5250 min
6/28/2026, 8:15:47 AM1 trades$5080 min
7/9/2026, 7:34:11 AM2 trades$4990 min
7/9/2026, 8:29:26 AM3 trades$4810 min
6/16/2026, 3:13:37 AM2 trades$2280 min
6/16/2026, 7:07:22 AM4 trades$2270 min
6/15/2026, 8:38:49 AM2 trades$2250 min
6/15/2026, 9:25:19 AM2 trades$2250 min
6/16/2026, 5:58:22 AM2 trades$2250 min
6/16/2026, 4:42:04 AM1 trades$2130 min
7/24/2026, 2:20:01 AM2 trades$830 min
7/24/2026, 2:57:58 AM2 trades$830 min
6/23/2026, 6:06:31 AM2 trades$800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-23
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.5 / M0 / H76.5