@FreshNewBeginning

#338,1889

0xddf6b8556091bd4299c4bffa32e59e31188d6b37

~57d· 164 markets · 542 tradesVol: $17,4992026-08-04 17:21:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

7% (6/82)0/20
0.76x (win $168 / loss $221)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5660/15
Sortino -3.1010/10
$-0.1193 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 792 (82 markets)8.5/10
4/43 profitable days (9%)0/10
Max DD 280% of peak ($134 / $48)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+41
Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#207,618$6Vol: $6,122
💰 FINANCE#68,833$6Vol: $2,982
🎭 CULTURE#99,523$4Vol: $2,516
💻 TECH#22,312$6Vol: $1,619
⚽ SPORTS#257,519$14Vol: $1,377
₿ CRYPTO#411,304$1Vol: $1,376
📈 ECONOMICS#128,268$1Vol: $834
🌤️ WEATHER#31,574$5Vol: $602

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$41
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,499
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
164
total markets
Trades
476B / 66S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $425
Week
$2
Vol: $2,953
Month
$4
Vol: $3,206
All Time
$41
Vol: $17,499

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
7%
6W / 76L events
Realized PnL
$41
Win Rate
7%
6W / 76L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $134 (3.2874354561101544% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$66
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$35
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14?$34
Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?$33
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 in June?$2

Top Losers

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?$-15
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$-13
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$-12
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?$-10
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?$-7
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$-7
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$-6
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$-6
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?$-5
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.081
Sortino
-0.211
HHI
66
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.219
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
13%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
56.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3396s — normal for humanCV 0.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.8 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.41
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)58%
Mid (20-55c)0.2%
High (>55c)41.8%

Sessions

#12
7/15/2026, 2:25:07 PM43 trades$1575 min
5/6/2026, 5:14:40 PM2 trades$630 min
5/13/2026, 3:50:22 PM3 trades$520 min
7/27/2026, 7:25:30 AM3 trades$300 min
5/6/2026, 11:39:05 PM3 trades$250 min
7/20/2026, 11:38:18 PM2 trades$200 min
7/22/2026, 7:24:27 PM3 trades$200 min
7/28/2026, 12:55:34 PM2 trades$100 min
5/7/2026, 7:14:21 AM4 trades$90 min
7/28/2026, 1:02:13 PM2 trades$80 min
7/27/2026, 7:34:58 AM2 trades$80 min
8/3/2026, 6:10:18 PM4 trades$62 min
7/22/2026, 11:14:34 AM1 trades$50 min
7/8/2026, 8:48:59 PM2 trades$44 min
6/1/2026, 4:34:44 PM4 trades$44 min
7/12/2026, 8:29:56 PM2 trades$45 min
8/3/2026, 12:32:48 PM12 trades$42 min
8/4/2026, 5:41:05 AM4 trades$41 min
7/23/2026, 6:12:01 PM1 trades$40 min
7/23/2026, 7:03:24 AM2 trades$41 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-06
06-04
06-11
06-25
07-16
07-23
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.41/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58 / M0.2 / H41.8