@MoneyTreeFarmer

#2,773,65143

0xde0978669cfa5a0ac9ec16fbad96d235ff7a2150

~107d· 122 markets · 1244 tradesVol: $43,2152026-08-04 22:02:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (20/48)5.8/20
1.08x (win $66 / loss $62)3.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.63211.9/15
Sortino 0.9329.3/10
$+0.0005 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 566 (48 markets)9.7/10
11/26 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 369% of peak ($30 / $8)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
50% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#800,294$-297Vol: $38,221
₿ CRYPTO#244,616$9Vol: $2,075
🏛️ POLITICS#256,963$3Vol: $1,620
💰 FINANCE#177,647$0Vol: $372
📈 ECONOMICS#534,681$-3Vol: $300
🌤️ WEATHER#85,621$0Vol: $222
⚽ SPORTS#945,142$-1Vol: $206
💻 TECH#190,332$-1Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-289
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,215
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
122
total markets
Trades
685B / 559S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~107d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-289
Vol: $43,215

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
20W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-289
Win Rate
42%
20W / 28L
Profit Factor
1.08x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25 (0.0878364353421435% of PnL)

Top Winners

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?$10
Will the government shutdown end November 13?$8
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?$8
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$7
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$6
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?$5
Ethereum all time high by December 31?$5
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?$4
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$3
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?$2

Top Losers

Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?$-15
Will Trump pardon Waddle?$-6
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$-6
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?$-5
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$-4
Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?$-3
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?$-3
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?$-3
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$-2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 2?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.033
Sortino
0.047
HHI
12
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
6.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 510s — normal for humanCV 1.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)50.2%
Mid (20-55c)11.1%
High (>55c)38.7%

Sessions

#12
12/27/2025, 3:17:31 PM3 trades$2180 min
11/21/2025, 10:44:55 PM4 trades$1843 min
2/2/2026, 3:23:34 PM17 trades$18327 min
4/1/2026, 5:15:15 PM2 trades$1760 min
12/9/2025, 8:04:55 AM2 trades$1751 min
12/21/2025, 7:40:38 PM7 trades$17510 min
3/31/2026, 10:15:13 PM6 trades$1731 min
12/26/2025, 8:58:35 PM6 trades$1733 min
2/24/2026, 6:57:50 AM6 trades$1725 min
12/25/2025, 11:40:05 AM3 trades$1711 min
12/25/2025, 4:16:21 PM2 trades$1691 min
12/26/2025, 8:17:45 AM3 trades$1673 min
12/29/2025, 1:03:31 AM2 trades$1602 min
1/3/2026, 7:31:27 PM2 trades$1560 min
1/3/2026, 7:48:37 PM1 trades$1540 min
1/9/2026, 4:40:12 AM3 trades$1510 min
11/15/2025, 10:14:46 PM4 trades$1504 min
1/7/2026, 12:06:31 AM3 trades$1501 min
11/10/2025, 10:08:32 PM2 trades$1500 min
12/1/2025, 5:03:46 PM6 trades$1483 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-01
11-10
11-15
11-21
11-27
12-13
04-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.38/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.2 / M11.1 / H38.7