@0xde42…9574

40

0xde42f08d51c6433faace36a3da70f7e116eb9574

~93d· 129 markets · 189 trades2026-08-05 00:10:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

87% (112/129)20/20
0.17x (win $9 / loss $52)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6470/15
Sortino -1.6460/10
$-0.0277 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 124 (129 markets)10/10
79/93 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 617% of peak ($52 / $8)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 87%
Consistent
79/93 profitable days
Win Streak
36 wins in a row

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-19
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,570
Total Redeem
$73
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
129
total markets
Trades
131B / 58S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~93d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
87%
112W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-19
Win Rate
87%
112W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-52

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6 (0.3020667726550079% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump visit China by June 30?$4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on January 29?$0
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$0
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on February 17?$0
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?$0
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on January 18?$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 2?$0
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0

Top Losers

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-52

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.086
Sortino
-468.280
HHI
123
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
14.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.2h
between trades
Avg Gap
13.8h
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.48
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 47480s — normal for humanCV 0.48 — uniform order sizes43% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 8:52:20 AM2 trades$510 min
4/28/2026, 1:46:42 AM2 trades$510 min
4/2/2026, 4:06:37 PM3 trades$360 min
5/15/2026, 5:02:16 AM2 trades$270 min
5/3/2026, 3:36:10 AM2 trades$260 min
5/2/2026, 3:04:12 PM2 trades$250 min
4/29/2026, 1:42:10 PM2 trades$250 min
4/28/2026, 8:41:22 AM2 trades$250 min
4/27/2026, 2:15:32 PM2 trades$250 min
4/27/2026, 2:09:14 AM2 trades$250 min
4/26/2026, 9:18:12 AM2 trades$250 min
4/25/2026, 12:58:54 PM2 trades$250 min
4/24/2026, 9:07:50 AM2 trades$250 min
4/8/2026, 3:30:33 AM2 trades$230 min
4/5/2026, 1:39:41 AM2 trades$230 min
4/4/2026, 10:38:47 AM2 trades$230 min
4/3/2026, 8:04:33 AM2 trades$230 min
4/2/2026, 5:22:03 AM2 trades$230 min
4/1/2026, 9:54:01 AM2 trades$230 min
3/10/2026, 1:50:09 PM1 trades$220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-15
01-21
02-15
03-05
04-30
06-13
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
78% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100