@M4KIM4
#2,743,240300xde728552ba566352a3d6a96e63adc749afe2b5b1
~83d· 363 markets · 3328 tradesVol: $159,6132026-08-04 20:21:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
40% (144/361)4.9/20
1.03x (win $8,732 / loss $8,466)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2404.5/15
Sortino 0.3143.1/10
$+0.0141 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 206 (361 markets)10/10
28/62 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 92% of peak ($3,004 / $3,259)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🌤️ WEATHER#1,255$1,414Vol: $103,819
🎭 CULTURE#743,581$-30Vol: $23,355
⚽ SPORTS#93,226$176Vol: $15,072
📢 MENTIONS#175,987$-1,929Vol: $12,346
🏛️ POLITICS#58,034$121Vol: $2,154
₿ CRYPTO#1,395,224$-52Vol: $1,568
📈 ECONOMICS#29,649$19Vol: $376
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-240
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$159,613
Total Redeem
$175
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
363
total markets
Trades
1774B / 1554S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~83d
Periods
#2Today
$6
Vol: $40
Week
$6
Vol: $40
Month
$6
Vol: $40
All Time
$-240
Vol: $159,613
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
40%
144W / 217L events
Realized PnL
$-240
Win Rate
40%
144W / 217L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$61
Avg Loss
$-39
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,304 (9.590328353239835% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?$1,168
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 12?$603
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?$533
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?$339
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?$318
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$296
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?$269
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?$219
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 29?$212
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?$210
Top Losers
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-1,930
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?$-342
Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July?$-272
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19?$-223
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on May 9?$-213
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?$-200
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 11?$-183
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?$-180
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 3?$-168
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 29?$-163
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.013
Sortino
0.013
HHI
279
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
30.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
25.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
52.6m
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.5
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 298s — normal for humanCV 3.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency2.8 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.24
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)55.5%
Mid (20-55c)21.5%
High (>55c)22.9%
Sessions
#125/22/2026, 1:28:13 PM2 trades$1,2680 min
5/15/2026, 2:51:27 PM2 trades$9990 min
5/10/2026, 7:58:14 AM27 trades$9234 min
5/15/2026, 2:18:07 PM4 trades$8931 min
5/5/2026, 2:30:08 PM15 trades$8693 min
5/13/2026, 6:42:14 AM58 trades$8355 min
5/13/2026, 1:11:42 AM51 trades$7958 min
4/24/2026, 7:08:44 AM25 trades$7747 min
5/10/2026, 8:26:38 AM1 trades$5430 min
4/29/2026, 3:48:36 PM4 trades$5271 min
6/15/2026, 5:45:42 AM3 trades$4222 min
5/12/2026, 9:03:57 AM2 trades$4050 min
4/3/2026, 10:00:21 AM4 trades$4000 min
5/12/2026, 8:25:37 AM2 trades$4000 min
5/15/2026, 8:14:53 AM13 trades$3770 min
5/13/2026, 6:17:50 AM5 trades$3740 min
5/15/2026, 3:48:39 PM3 trades$3350 min
5/6/2026, 2:58:24 AM5 trades$3010 min
5/12/2026, 9:01:51 PM2 trades$3000 min
6/18/2026, 8:53:59 AM11 trades$2960 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-19
03-29
04-14
04-28
05-08
05-22
07-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
74% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.24/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.5 / M21.5 / H22.9