@0xDe78E3…8194

#2,824,7483

0xde78e330492b3a5e52155504bb966428b8f8a67a

~16d· 30 markets · 312 tradesVol: $15,2822026-08-04 21:13:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (10/28)2.9/20
0.32x (win $395 / loss $1,253)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -12.7430/15
Sortino -10.7780/10
$-0.6922 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5017 (28 markets)0/10
1/7 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($964 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
62% entries < $0.55

Categories

4
📈 ECONOMICS#14,957$72Vol: $7,532
CRYPTO#1,555,446$-263Vol: $6,631
SPORTS#1,745,898$-211Vol: $1,027
🏛️ POLITICS#1,277,220$-10Vol: $91

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-412
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,282
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
98B / 214S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Month
$-197
Vol: $5,053
All Time
$-412
Vol: $15,282

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
10W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-412
Win Rate
36%
10W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.32x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-74

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $242 (0.5870662460567824% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$106
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$92
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2

Top Losers

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-474
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-236
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-103
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$-78
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$-45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$-29

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.618
Sortino
-0.654
HHI
2037
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.533
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
35.6%
Top-5 markets
79.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
31
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 147s — normal for humanCV 1.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.93
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.4%
Mid (20-55c)39.8%
High (>55c)37.8%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 6:06:53 PM19 trades$5,1079 min
6/13/2026, 7:50:25 PM63 trades$73926 min
6/13/2026, 7:04:01 PM40 trades$55717 min
6/13/2026, 6:53:33 PM28 trades$1884 min
6/17/2026, 5:35:10 PM4 trades$1660 min
6/13/2026, 7:26:10 PM27 trades$1635 min
8/2/2026, 1:53:59 AM19 trades$1601 min
7/22/2026, 2:58:28 PM5 trades$1340 min
6/17/2026, 4:26:52 PM2 trades$1290 min
7/22/2026, 2:49:51 PM6 trades$1090 min
6/17/2026, 6:31:07 PM11 trades$1042 min
6/17/2026, 6:52:14 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/11/2026, 3:53:08 PM11 trades$912 min
7/23/2026, 2:49:51 PM2 trades$790 min
8/1/2026, 12:06:08 PM11 trades$763 min
7/3/2026, 5:43:55 PM2 trades$720 min
7/29/2026, 11:45:23 AM2 trades$620 min
7/29/2026, 6:24:26 AM3 trades$590 min
7/1/2026, 1:16:46 PM2 trades$490 min
7/28/2026, 1:17:38 PM3 trades$440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-17
06-18
06-29
07-29
08-01
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.93/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22.4 / M39.8 / H37.8