@MichaelSellor

#180,30592

0xdf27de8d5a5b5bd1fa979c686977b042215bbc7c

~99d· 77 markets · 227 tradesVol: $8,253 @Staraptor_eth2026-08-05 02:38:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (59/71)20/20
2.06x (win $512 / loss $248)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.49215/15
Sortino 7.11310/10
$+0.0647 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 277 (71 markets)10/10
44/53 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 28% of peak ($73 / $264)8.5/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Profitable
PnL $+185
Consistent
44/53 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 28%
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#79,220$132Vol: $3,230
🎭 CULTURE#738,130$-26Vol: $2,074
🏛️ POLITICS#97,235$43Vol: $1,754
💰 FINANCE#50,644$12Vol: $422
📈 ECONOMICS#26,938$23Vol: $393
⚽ SPORTS#265,544$12Vol: $321
📢 MENTIONS#131,479$-11Vol: $59

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$185
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,253
Total Redeem
$57
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
77
total markets
Trades
123B / 104S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~99d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$-6
Vol: $0
Month
$12
Vol: $48
All Time
$185
Vol: $8,253

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
59W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$185
Win Rate
83%
59W / 12L
Profit Factor
2.06x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $175 (0.9454486591485458% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$67
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$64
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$44
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$39
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?$38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$33
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?$15
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in February?$14
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?$12

Top Losers

USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$-111
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$-59
Will LSU win by 5 or more points?$-20
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$-19
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?$-15
Tesla sells bitcoin in October?$-10
Will Biden say "Convicted felon" at DNC speech?$-5
Will Biden say "Folks" three or more times at DNC speech?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.233
Sortino
0.204
HHI
322
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.061
Kelly %
20.8%
Half-Kelly
10.4%
Top-1 market
9.4%
Top-5 markets
28.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.6h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 7860s — normal for humanCV 0.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.03
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.4%
Mid (20-55c)8.9%
High (>55c)79.7%

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 2:03:57 AM6 trades$2404 min
4/23/2026, 2:06:00 AM6 trades$2274 min
4/21/2026, 1:23:56 AM10 trades$2105 min
6/3/2026, 2:43:52 AM2 trades$2000 min
10/13/2025, 3:54:25 AM2 trades$1773 min
3/12/2026, 11:53:05 PM2 trades$1400 min
11/21/2025, 10:43:47 PM2 trades$1162 min
3/31/2026, 1:11:15 PM2 trades$1161 min
4/29/2026, 11:06:14 PM2 trades$1150 min
4/4/2026, 4:09:11 PM2 trades$1100 min
10/17/2025, 11:49:27 AM1 trades$1020 min
10/17/2025, 9:46:15 PM1 trades$1020 min
10/22/2025, 9:01:15 PM1 trades$1000 min
5/12/2026, 11:04:42 PM2 trades$1000 min
5/27/2026, 5:30:01 PM1 trades$1000 min
10/17/2025, 12:02:53 AM1 trades$940 min
10/17/2025, 10:42:15 AM1 trades$940 min
7/19/2026, 7:31:39 PM4 trades$900 min
3/5/2026, 8:26:09 PM1 trades$870 min
3/12/2026, 6:12:59 PM1 trades$830 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-20
10-17
11-03
11-21
12-18
02-25
04-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.4 / M8.9 / H79.7