@williamschristopher

#2,012,40212

0xdf497f2944f2d65579fb5ed62f951bf28b9d6e2f

~41d· 68 markets · 137 tradesVol: $21,4802026-08-04 19:57:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (25/68)3.4/20
0.10x (win $2 / loss $19)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.2770/15
Sortino -5.1040/10
$-0.0016 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1608 (68 markets)4.5/10
19/41 profitable days (46%)4.1/10
Max DD 3000% of peak ($18 / $1)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,447,513$-18Vol: $21,260
₿ CRYPTO#481,037$0Vol: $73
💰 FINANCE#182,438$0Vol: $57
💻 TECH#151,520$-0Vol: $10
🎭 CULTURE#323,544$0Vol: $6
🏛️ POLITICS#534,606$0Vol: $2
🌤️ WEATHER#149,330$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-17
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,480
Total Redeem
$17
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
68
total markets
Trades
86B / 51S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-17
Vol: $21,480

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
25W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$-17
Win Rate
37%
25W / 43L
Profit Factor
0.1x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.06902654867256637% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Monday?$1
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of July?$0
Mavericks vs. Kings$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026?$0
Will XRP reach $4.50 in October?$0
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?$0
Will XRP reach $2.80 in April?$0
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in June?$0
Will Solana hit $210 in March?$0
Trump in jail before inauguration? $0

Top Losers

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?$-5
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-3
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-2
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-2
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-2
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-2
Dolphins vs. Jets$-1
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Bucks vs. Pacers$-0
Canadiens vs. Golden Knights$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.273
Sortino
-0.148
HHI
1585
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
26.2%
Half-Kelly
13.1%
Top-1 market
18.8%
Top-5 markets
86.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
28.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1682s — normal for humanCV 3.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.06
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.8%
Mid (20-55c)22.1%
High (>55c)72.1%

Sessions

#12
11/17/2025, 11:34:35 PM1 trades$1,9660 min
11/18/2025, 12:00:49 AM1 trades$1,9640 min
11/17/2025, 10:51:37 PM1 trades$1,8610 min
11/17/2025, 11:09:01 PM1 trades$1,8590 min
2/26/2025, 10:03:54 AM1 trades$8890 min
2/26/2025, 3:55:33 PM1 trades$8890 min
2/26/2025, 11:15:53 AM1 trades$8880 min
2/26/2025, 5:28:23 PM1 trades$8880 min
2/26/2025, 8:30:22 AM1 trades$8800 min
2/26/2025, 9:27:36 AM1 trades$8790 min
2/26/2025, 12:05:09 PM1 trades$8730 min
2/26/2025, 1:15:41 PM1 trades$8720 min
2/26/2025, 3:41:28 AM1 trades$8700 min
2/26/2025, 5:22:11 AM1 trades$8690 min
2/26/2025, 6:18:51 AM1 trades$8680 min
2/26/2025, 2:21:53 PM1 trades$8660 min
2/26/2025, 7:13:57 AM1 trades$8660 min
2/26/2025, 3:29:31 PM1 trades$8650 min
12/27/2024, 6:27:38 AM2 trades$422 min
1/1/2025, 3:27:30 AM2 trades$382 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-26
01-01
01-16
02-26
04-24
08-28
03-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 325 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.8 / M22.1 / H72.1