@piygwilliam

#534,65973

0xdf66e601d86feaa4954582791e5fec59617b46d2

~49d· 41 markets · 118 tradesVol: $37,2122026-08-04 23:40:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

94% (31/33)20/20
2.84x (win $16 / loss $5)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.16015/15
Sortino 6.69110/10
$+0.0005 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6142 (33 markets)0/10
27/29 profitable days (93%)10/10
Max DD 53% of peak ($5 / $10)3.4/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 94%
Profitable
PnL $+7
Consistent
27/29 profitable days
Win Streak
18 wins in a row

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#294,454$5Vol: $37,001
🏛️ POLITICS#296,481$2Vol: $87
🎭 CULTURE#629,868$-4Vol: $38
💰 FINANCE#117,923$2Vol: $35
⚽ SPORTS#379,844$3Vol: $26
🌤️ WEATHER#62,732$1Vol: $14
📈 ECONOMICS#379,244$-0Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,212
Total Redeem
$2
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
52B / 66S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$7
Vol: $37,212

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
94%
31W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$7
Win Rate
94%
31W / 2L
Profit Factor
2.84x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7 (0.9513590844062947% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 27?$3
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?$1
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$0
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.265
Sortino
347.931
HHI
13806
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.000
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
113.2%
Top-5 markets
155.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.9h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 482s — normal for humanCV 2.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.45
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
3/28/2026, 9:47:47 AM5 trades$5,6845 min
3/28/2026, 10:08:27 AM5 trades$5,6738 min
3/28/2026, 10:46:25 AM3 trades$5,6713 min
3/27/2026, 4:58:39 AM1 trades$2,8410 min
3/27/2026, 11:53:31 AM1 trades$2,8390 min
3/27/2026, 6:59:19 AM1 trades$2,8370 min
3/28/2026, 10:56:01 AM1 trades$2,8360 min
3/27/2026, 6:07:45 AM1 trades$2,3250 min
3/27/2026, 7:57:55 AM1 trades$2,0650 min
3/28/2026, 11:04:03 AM5 trades$2,02516 min
3/27/2026, 7:41:15 AM1 trades$7710 min
3/27/2026, 6:34:09 AM1 trades$5000 min
3/28/2026, 12:27:21 PM2 trades$4871 min
3/28/2026, 12:08:57 PM8 trades$23512 min
3/28/2026, 11:39:51 AM5 trades$4614 min
5/11/2026, 5:23:38 AM1 trades$260 min
3/28/2026, 12:03:43 PM1 trades$200 min
6/28/2026, 2:45:19 AM7 trades$140 min
3/28/2026, 11:27:39 AM1 trades$110 min
3/27/2026, 6:20:31 AM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-01
02-21
03-06
03-18
03-25
03-30
04-11
05-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100