@likemoeny
#2,394,765400xdfda352fb9e67e242d90cf4e2b5b6f6122319750
~31d· 47 markets · 142 tradesVol: $20,4472026-08-04 20:09:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
89% (40/45)20/20
0.51x (win $220 / loss $433)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0860/15
Sortino -2.1210/10
$-0.0159 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 486 (45 markets)10/10
22/26 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 276% of peak ($426 / $154)0/10
Badges
3Sniper
Win rate 89%
Consistent
22/26 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
Categories
6🎭 CULTURE#26,116$67Vol: $8,590
💰 FINANCE#28,440$42Vol: $4,691
₿ CRYPTO#161,261$27Vol: $4,660
🏛️ POLITICS#1,544,754$-143Vol: $1,320
⚽ SPORTS#440,500$1Vol: $858
💻 TECH#244,594$-51Vol: $328
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-57
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,447
Total Redeem
$1,944
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
71B / 71S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $448
Week
$2
Vol: $448
Month
$2
Vol: $448
All Time
$-57
Vol: $20,447
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
89%
40W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-57
Win Rate
89%
40W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-217
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $122 (2.1434599156118144% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$48
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?$42
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$8
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$8
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$8
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$7
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? $7
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$6
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?$6
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-372
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$-61
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.107
Sortino
-0.037
HHI
471
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.1%
Top-5 markets
36.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
31.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8h
between trades
Night Trading
49%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1908s — normal for humanCV 1.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)49% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 1:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.18
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%
Sessions
#124/28/2026, 6:18:04 AM2 trades$1,6200 min
5/1/2026, 9:52:18 AM2 trades$1,6150 min
5/16/2026, 10:45:45 AM7 trades$8680 min
5/2/2026, 5:48:28 AM5 trades$8160 min
5/6/2026, 5:32:46 AM2 trades$8100 min
4/27/2026, 1:48:36 AM11 trades$7892 min
4/25/2026, 12:53:56 PM2 trades$6680 min
4/20/2026, 5:10:26 AM4 trades$6661 min
3/5/2026, 3:09:09 PM1 trades$5040 min
6/13/2026, 4:32:37 AM15 trades$4936 min
6/27/2026, 1:54:28 AM13 trades$4305 min
6/8/2026, 12:21:28 AM3 trades$3770 min
8/4/2026, 10:17:05 AM5 trades$3550 min
6/21/2026, 7:55:04 AM12 trades$2941 min
6/8/2026, 8:59:45 AM5 trades$2714 min
6/23/2026, 2:52:20 AM2 trades$2660 min
3/9/2026, 12:25:41 PM1 trades$2580 min
3/6/2026, 6:15:25 AM1 trades$2480 min
6/10/2026, 6:47:31 AM3 trades$2390 min
7/7/2026, 1:54:52 AM1 trades$2230 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-06
04-27
05-06
06-05
06-09
06-15
07-07
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100