@tintinthepilot

#337,31483

0xdfe85dae2317510f7e2a1ff0ddb4636c1cc57925

~13d· 25 markets · 72 tradesVol: $1,3872026-08-05 16:51:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (20/24)20/20
2.75x (win $53 / loss $19)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.53415/15
Sortino 11.10610/10
$+0.0341 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 1306 (24 markets)6/10
10/12 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($17 / $39)5.4/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Profitable
PnL $+41
Consistent
10/12 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#13,029$32Vol: $461
🏛️ POLITICS#257,060$3Vol: $460
📈 ECONOMICS#64,814$4Vol: $125
💰 FINANCE#114,317$2Vol: $121
⚽ SPORTS#474,451$0Vol: $101
🎭 CULTURE#218,051$0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$41
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,387
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
39B / 33S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $112
Week
$-4
Vol: $212
Month
$-4
Vol: $212
All Time
$41
Vol: $1,387

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
20W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$41
Win Rate
83%
20W / 4L
Profit Factor
2.75x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $32 (0.774122807017544% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?$25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on June 6?$4
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?$3
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 14?$2
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 5?$2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 7?$2
Will Apple announce a standalone Siri app during the WWDC 2026 keynote?$2
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 14?$2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 5?$2

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 7?$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.277
Sortino
inf
HHI
1104
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.9%
Top-5 markets
65.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 288s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)10.3%
High (>55c)89.7%

Sessions

#12
5/30/2026, 5:23:18 PM3 trades$2350 min
5/14/2026, 7:46:35 PM4 trades$2001 min
6/14/2026, 4:58:34 PM3 trades$1840 min
6/15/2026, 8:28:55 PM4 trades$1441 min
8/4/2026, 7:40:53 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/9/2026, 9:54:15 PM1 trades$930 min
6/8/2026, 5:30:19 PM10 trades$618 min
6/8/2026, 5:10:06 PM4 trades$600 min
6/9/2026, 5:58:37 PM2 trades$560 min
6/5/2026, 2:56:43 AM5 trades$306 min
8/5/2026, 2:02:39 PM4 trades$291 min
8/5/2026, 3:42:53 PM1 trades$280 min
6/6/2026, 7:32:42 PM4 trades$200 min
6/5/2026, 11:19:31 AM1 trades$200 min
6/18/2026, 11:06:13 PM2 trades$200 min
5/12/2026, 7:06:07 PM7 trades$183 min
6/5/2026, 11:07:57 AM5 trades$183 min
8/5/2026, 2:11:18 PM1 trades$160 min
5/12/2026, 10:03:06 PM1 trades$60 min
5/14/2026, 7:56:02 PM2 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-12
05-30
06-06
06-09
06-15
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
50% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M10.3 / H89.7