@Bearmanpig

#2,757,17813

0xe0392f5d088678cc912155accb65eed78ccb519d

~12d· 129 markets · 501 tradesVol: $15,0132026-08-05 16:51:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (18/125)0/20
0.58x (win $1,240 / loss $2,150)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6060/15
Sortino -3.6340/10
$-0.4323 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 345 (125 markets)10/10
5/12 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 265% of peak ($1,552 / $586)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
73% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#82,224$122Vol: $9,286
⚽ SPORTS#1,782,697$-385Vol: $5,696
🏛️ POLITICS#226,461$4Vol: $30

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-259
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,013
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
129
total markets
Trades
169B / 332S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
18W / 107L events
Realized PnL
$-259
Win Rate
14%
18W / 107L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$69
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $562 (2.1721831258216686% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$237
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$168
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$157
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$130
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 2.5$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$61
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$54
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$35
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$34

Top Losers

Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-1,391
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-138
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$-30
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?$-20
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$-20
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?$-20
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 5.5$-20
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.181
Sortino
-0.138
HHI
1489
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.435
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.1%
Top-5 markets
66.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
41.8
Active
Markets / Day
10.8
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
53%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 460s — normal for humanCV 2.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)53% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity42 trades/day — high frequency11 markets/day — mass coverage34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.82
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)73.4%
Mid (20-55c)11.2%
High (>55c)15.4%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 2:34:15 AM7 trades$1,0478 min
6/15/2026, 9:44:13 PM36 trades$1,04319 min
6/25/2026, 4:11:38 AM23 trades$4190 min
6/18/2026, 3:08:07 AM17 trades$2685 min
6/25/2026, 12:35:56 AM4 trades$2551 min
6/15/2026, 6:29:18 PM12 trades$2463 min
6/23/2026, 5:38:08 PM2 trades$2410 min
6/23/2026, 5:47:20 PM2 trades$2390 min
6/23/2026, 7:35:08 PM2 trades$2380 min
6/23/2026, 4:53:49 PM4 trades$2372 min
6/24/2026, 3:06:29 PM4 trades$2050 min
6/19/2026, 12:17:25 PM4 trades$2000 min
6/21/2026, 3:08:20 PM11 trades$1791 min
6/17/2026, 4:14:29 PM12 trades$1504 min
6/24/2026, 11:55:02 PM2 trades$1480 min
6/25/2026, 2:55:01 AM5 trades$1385 min
6/17/2026, 2:28:07 AM10 trades$1351 min
6/17/2026, 4:33:04 PM5 trades$1300 min
6/17/2026, 9:17:25 PM2 trades$1300 min
6/24/2026, 2:35:34 AM4 trades$1263 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-16
06-18
06-20
06-22
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.82/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L73.4 / M11.2 / H15.4