@Lucifernebula

#318,21012

0xe03a7141f0b834f3d1017be03fbb550dd3cd14a6

~25d· 50 markets · 133 tradesVol: $7,5092026-08-04 17:18:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (15/41)3.3/20
0.84x (win $169 / loss $201)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0910/15
Sortino -1.4350/10
$-0.0613 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1181 (41 markets)6.6/10
6/16 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 176% of peak ($151 / $86)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+49
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#1,076,452$-2Vol: $5,999
💻 TECH#186,541$-1Vol: $741
🏛️ POLITICS#88,433$52Vol: $659
🎭 CULTURE#485,042$-1Vol: $112

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$49
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,509
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
72B / 61S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $0
Month
$-5
Vol: $0
All Time
$49
Vol: $7,509

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
15W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$49
Win Rate
37%
15W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $130 (2.6661876411414487% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$82
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$35
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?$13
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$5
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$3
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$3
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$3
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$3
Spain to score first vs. France?$3

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-57
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?$-15
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?$-12
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$-4
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$-3
Will the US strike Somalia next?$-2
Alex Baena: 1+ goals$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.055
Sortino
-0.064
HHI
1581
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.071
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
35.4%
Top-5 markets
69.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
33s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 33s — normal for humanCV 2.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.32
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.7%
Mid (20-55c)30.6%
High (>55c)27.8%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 9:12:05 PM3 trades$2000 min
7/16/2026, 3:43:43 PM10 trades$764 min
4/2/2026, 8:31:09 PM7 trades$601 min
1/12/2026, 1:36:22 PM1 trades$500 min
6/22/2026, 8:51:20 PM20 trades$496 min
1/6/2026, 7:05:57 AM1 trades$450 min
6/18/2026, 4:44:44 AM19 trades$374 min
1/5/2026, 12:47:11 PM1 trades$320 min
1/9/2026, 11:36:10 AM3 trades$300 min
1/6/2026, 6:05:13 PM1 trades$290 min
7/14/2026, 4:39:43 PM4 trades$291 min
1/15/2026, 1:23:24 PM1 trades$280 min
1/6/2026, 2:03:37 PM1 trades$240 min
7/23/2026, 2:22:33 PM3 trades$220 min
6/29/2026, 5:27:20 PM4 trades$210 min
7/27/2026, 4:55:45 AM2 trades$200 min
1/5/2026, 1:58:25 PM1 trades$200 min
7/19/2026, 6:07:10 AM2 trades$190 min
6/16/2026, 4:47:55 PM10 trades$182 min
1/31/2026, 5:20:44 PM2 trades$173 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
01-31
04-02
06-18
06-22
06-29
07-10
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 112 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.32/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.7 / M30.6 / H27.8