@0xe0949C…7867

#2,867,79844

0xe0949c6f8ce1df5d8538496c4866426fb19911cd

~36d· 49 markets · 709 tradesVol: $33,4282026-08-04 22:23:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (9/49)0/20
1.18x (win $2,209 / loss $1,879)4.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.98015/15
Sortino 2.54310/10
$+0.0810 per $1 invested4/10
HHI 521 (49 markets)9.9/10
7/32 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 93% of peak ($653 / $706)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#295,900$-575Vol: $33,428

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-575
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,428
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
315B / 394S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
9W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-575
Win Rate
18%
9W / 40L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$246
Avg Loss
$-47

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,560 (2.714954327968682% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 21?$900
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 17?$359
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 16?$302
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 9?$277
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?$195
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 14?$141
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 28?$22
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 27?$13
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 3?$1

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 18?$-167
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?$-167
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14?$-126
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 27?$-114
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 29?$-109
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 28?$-95
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 6?$-86
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 10?$-78
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 10?$-76
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 9?$-72

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.051
Sortino
0.191
HHI
797
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.081
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.7%
Top-5 markets
58.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 68s — normal for humanCV 3.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity10 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.47
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60.6%
Mid (20-55c)29.2%
High (>55c)10.2%

Sessions

#12
5/29/2026, 5:58:48 AM10 trades$1,5001 min
6/7/2026, 6:57:09 AM2 trades$6970 min
5/15/2026, 12:57:47 AM2 trades$6000 min
6/17/2026, 10:07:11 AM2 trades$5990 min
4/28/2026, 2:23:46 AM7 trades$5273 min
6/26/2026, 11:51:11 PM30 trades$5268 min
6/21/2026, 7:44:29 AM15 trades$51612 min
6/16/2026, 10:16:13 AM5 trades$5000 min
6/8/2026, 11:50:33 PM19 trades$5005 min
6/27/2026, 11:52:34 PM64 trades$48310 min
6/17/2026, 11:51:05 PM27 trades$4378 min
5/4/2026, 12:16:04 AM14 trades$3860 min
7/8/2026, 11:43:35 PM15 trades$3681 min
6/18/2026, 11:50:44 PM14 trades$3291 min
5/14/2026, 5:15:38 PM17 trades$3075 min
6/20/2026, 11:54:02 PM17 trades$2973 min
6/20/2026, 11:48:01 PM8 trades$2860 min
6/16/2026, 11:48:59 PM8 trades$2820 min
6/4/2026, 11:55:46 PM28 trades$2727 min
5/13/2026, 8:54:27 AM7 trades$2712 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-26
05-05
05-15
06-04
06-10
06-19
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.47/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.6 / M29.2 / H10.2