@easierthanmanifold
#52,095890xe15140da748ca6f978db95bd9303389aa7c2a852
~118d· 175 markets · 1038 tradesVol: $58,9442026-08-04 19:46:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
57% (73/128)13.5/20
4.01x (win $7,820 / loss $1,950)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.56515/15
Sortino 33.12610/10
$+0.3547 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 301 (128 markets)10/10
35/65 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($253 / $5,871)10/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+2,003
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 6.2 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 4%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#29,629$425Vol: $41,639
⚽ SPORTS#33,690$1,199Vol: $11,498
🌤️ WEATHER#5,553$157Vol: $2,986
💻 TECH#4,247$179Vol: $1,132
💰 FINANCE#53,126$11Vol: $1,067
🎭 CULTURE#35,919$37Vol: $373
₿ CRYPTO#1,044,641$-5Vol: $250
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,003
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$58,944
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
175
total markets
Trades
786B / 252S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~118d
Periods
#2Today
$-54
Vol: $0
Week
$-83
Vol: $0
Month
$-135
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,003
Vol: $58,944
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
57%
73W / 55L events
Realized PnL
$2,003
Win Rate
57%
73W / 55L
Profit Factor
4.01x
Avg Win
$107
Avg Loss
$-37
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,026 (2.5090238288992177% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3,789
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$705
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?$532
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$502
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$396
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$322
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$204
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$179
Kash Patel out by June 30?$152
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$146
Top Losers
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-521
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-213
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$-197
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?$-182
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-111
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-94
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-78
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-52
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$-49
Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?$-44
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.185
Sortino
1.292
HHI
157
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.527
Kelly %
8.8%
Half-Kelly
4.4%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
20.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 644s — normal for humanCV 2.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.23
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)50.8%
Mid (20-55c)18.8%
High (>55c)30.4%
Sessions
#125/6/2026, 5:31:46 PM2 trades$1,7700 min
6/4/2026, 2:58:30 PM28 trades$1,09516 min
4/2/2026, 7:02:31 PM3 trades$1,0000 min
5/22/2026, 2:43:52 AM1 trades$7040 min
5/7/2026, 6:18:20 PM7 trades$6042 min
4/14/2026, 8:10:38 PM6 trades$5550 min
6/22/2026, 7:49:37 PM13 trades$5546 min
4/2/2026, 9:25:31 PM3 trades$5034 min
5/6/2026, 5:50:28 PM1 trades$4340 min
6/9/2026, 12:55:09 AM20 trades$3656 min
5/17/2026, 1:49:25 AM1 trades$3570 min
4/2/2026, 11:31:51 PM2 trades$3360 min
3/27/2026, 6:07:59 PM7 trades$30010 min
5/4/2026, 12:43:22 AM4 trades$3000 min
2/27/2026, 8:50:49 PM1 trades$2860 min
4/3/2026, 4:25:59 PM6 trades$2780 min
4/10/2026, 4:11:29 PM4 trades$2550 min
3/9/2026, 9:41:55 PM1 trades$2490 min
3/9/2026, 10:13:23 PM1 trades$2490 min
1/18/2026, 7:54:02 AM1 trades$2420 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-19
01-20
02-08
03-03
04-03
05-29
06-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 11 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.23/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.8 / M18.8 / H30.4