@0xe157…4f0e

#2,911,58111

0xe157c3446fa09659e1b900f47912226e20654f0e

~23d· 35 markets · 245 tradesVol: $72,1292026-08-05 17:24:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (11/35)0.7/20
0.64x (win $4,225 / loss $6,653)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2550/15
Sortino -2.4940/10
$-0.1139 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 830 (35 markets)8.3/10
7/18 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 239% of peak ($4,175 / $1,747)0/10

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,830,803$-1,058Vol: $40,877
🏛️ POLITICS#16,977$1,091Vol: $17,814
💰 FINANCE#652,419$-676Vol: $9,958
CRYPTO#1,544,952$-222Vol: $3,479

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-864
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$72,129
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
82B / 163S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
11W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-864
Win Rate
31%
11W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$384
Avg Loss
$-512

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,312 (3.8316926742935142% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,704
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$951
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$657
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$593
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$115
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$66
Ethereum Up or Down on January 5?$49
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 4?$42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 5?$15

Top Losers

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,175
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,217
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-446
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 3PM ET$-241
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-152
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?$-118
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-117
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$-99
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 5?$-42
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-31

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.115
Sortino
-0.105
HHI
1193
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.100
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15%
Top-5 markets
71.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 221s — normal for humanCV 1.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.34
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.4%
Mid (20-55c)7.3%
High (>55c)68.3%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 11:36:48 AM20 trades$4,2727 min
6/17/2026, 2:41:25 PM13 trades$2,8593 min
6/24/2026, 8:42:59 PM8 trades$2,7581 min
6/23/2026, 2:55:37 AM18 trades$2,0933 min
6/21/2026, 3:12:29 AM6 trades$2,0740 min
6/22/2026, 7:14:07 PM11 trades$1,9920 min
6/12/2026, 4:21:16 PM2 trades$1,9760 min
6/21/2026, 2:38:53 AM2 trades$1,7210 min
4/22/2026, 1:18:38 AM3 trades$1,5920 min
6/25/2026, 3:25:17 AM3 trades$1,5790 min
6/7/2026, 8:22:27 PM19 trades$1,4125 min
6/24/2026, 8:52:08 PM2 trades$1,3950 min
6/4/2026, 12:25:06 AM9 trades$7900 min
4/22/2026, 2:47:28 AM9 trades$7714 min
4/22/2026, 8:40:10 PM4 trades$7010 min
6/8/2026, 6:39:52 PM14 trades$6203 min
5/30/2026, 10:52:11 PM3 trades$5950 min
4/21/2026, 3:50:44 PM11 trades$5371 min
6/12/2026, 4:31:10 PM10 trades$4631 min
6/15/2026, 6:53:40 PM4 trades$4490 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-04
03-06
05-30
06-08
06-15
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.4 / M7.3 / H68.3