@tweetmaster
#2,786,654100xe215f8fd83e3cff0c11262c14fdf9ba1862c1c22
~57d· 765 markets · 1826 tradesVol: $19,0662026-08-05 17:27:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
7% (27/386)0/20
0.83x (win $456 / loss $551)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0580/15
Sortino -4.1490/10
$-0.0684 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 84 (386 markets)10/10
9/46 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 226% of peak ($173 / $77)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,557,082$-182Vol: $9,344
🎭 CULTURE#29,305$55Vol: $4,217
📢 MENTIONS#161,473$-78Vol: $2,535
💰 FINANCE#600,670$-23Vol: $828
⚽ SPORTS#1,532,519$-32Vol: $821
💻 TECH#238,059$-24Vol: $508
₿ CRYPTO#1,015,770$-4Vol: $218
📈 ECONOMICS#576,810$-6Vol: $194
🌤️ WEATHER#37,763$3Vol: $145
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-308
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,066
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
765
total markets
Trades
876B / 950S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d
Periods
#2Today
$-10
Vol: $0
Week
$-13
Vol: $0
Month
$-43
Vol: $66
All Time
$-308
Vol: $19,066
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
7%
27W / 359L events
Realized PnL
$-308
Win Rate
7%
27W / 359L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-3
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $220 (0.7134749473001459% of PnL)
Top Winners
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$97
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$76
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$47
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$20
Will "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the IEM Cologne 2026 Grand Finals?$17
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$15
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$15
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?$13
Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?$13
Top Losers
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?$-6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-6
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$-6
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-6
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-6
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-5
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4
Spread: Knicks (-18.5)$-4
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.106
Sortino
-0.292
HHI
220
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.110
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.3%
Top-5 markets
21.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
32.0
Active
Markets / Day
13.4
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.6
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastCV 0.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule32 trades/day — high frequency13 markets/day — mass coverage48% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.73
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)64.6%
Mid (20-55c)30.6%
High (>55c)4.8%
Sessions
#126/8/2026, 4:10:42 PM175 trades$5212 min
6/8/2026, 3:54:34 PM81 trades$2411 min
6/18/2026, 12:40:19 PM17 trades$1820 min
6/16/2026, 4:40:15 AM18 trades$1670 min
6/11/2026, 12:40:16 AM19 trades$1650 min
6/16/2026, 10:40:16 AM18 trades$1470 min
6/18/2026, 4:40:29 PM19 trades$1410 min
6/7/2026, 11:29:06 PM12 trades$1278 min
6/18/2026, 2:40:29 PM16 trades$1200 min
6/16/2026, 6:40:16 AM21 trades$1190 min
6/15/2026, 10:40:22 PM18 trades$1190 min
6/19/2026, 12:40:23 AM15 trades$1150 min
6/10/2026, 4:40:24 AM19 trades$1090 min
6/16/2026, 2:40:13 AM20 trades$950 min
6/8/2026, 3:11:36 PM29 trades$941 min
6/16/2026, 4:40:16 PM18 trades$921 min
6/15/2026, 6:40:27 PM17 trades$860 min
6/9/2026, 4:40:21 PM17 trades$850 min
6/23/2026, 6:40:16 AM10 trades$850 min
6/10/2026, 10:40:27 PM20 trades$820 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-15
06-22
06-29
07-07
07-15
07-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 45 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.73/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L64.6 / M30.6 / H4.8