ethanbigbrother

@ethanbigbrother

#3,025,57919

0xe232dcbf9b440dbfe9bea53f0f33d0eea1906cea

~122d· 791 markets · 1926 tradesVol: $127,381 @ethanbigbrother2026-08-04 22:58:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (293/788)3.6/20
0.89x (win $10,096 / loss $11,395)1.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0200/15
Sortino -1.3270/10
$-0.0681 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 132 (788 markets)10/10
54/119 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 173% of peak ($3,098 / $1,791)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,861,061$-2,577Vol: $57,162
CRYPTO#1,603,848$-682Vol: $14,536
🌤️ WEATHER#223,948$-4Vol: $295
💰 FINANCE#498,254$-2Vol: $43

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,150
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$127,381
Total Redeem
$9,248
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
791
total markets
Trades
1463B / 463S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~122d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $105
Week
$-5
Vol: $185
Month
$-3
Vol: $249
All Time
$-3,150
Vol: $127,381

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
293W / 495L events
Realized PnL
$-3,150
Win Rate
37%
293W / 495L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,042 (0.6483976658687273% of PnL)

Top Winners

Lakers vs. Rockets$1,030
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winner$516
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$496
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$416
Knicks vs. Hawks$289
Madrid Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Cristina Bucsa$224
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$216
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$213
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner$193
Pistons vs. Magic$180

Top Losers

Lakers vs. Rockets$-800
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$-765
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner$-475
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$-400
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-04-18?$-400
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)$-301
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$-262
76ers vs. Celtics$-241
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$-201
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.053
Sortino
-0.056
HHI
113
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.068
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
16.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 548s — normal for humanCV 2.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal4.0 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.46
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.8%
Mid (20-55c)45.8%
High (>55c)15.4%

Sessions

#12
6/4/2026, 3:30:45 PM46 trades$2,2248 min
6/29/2026, 7:59:52 AM3 trades$1,0000 min
4/22/2026, 7:42:48 PM8 trades$9174 min
4/27/2026, 12:00:12 AM2 trades$9090 min
4/24/2026, 12:57:16 PM2 trades$7150 min
4/26/2026, 8:42:22 PM6 trades$5710 min
5/18/2026, 8:10:41 PM6 trades$5530 min
6/19/2026, 2:56:19 AM2 trades$5000 min
3/12/2026, 1:54:49 AM7 trades$47915 min
4/6/2026, 2:17:33 PM7 trades$4640 min
4/25/2026, 8:44:26 PM3 trades$4080 min
4/25/2026, 6:57:54 PM2 trades$4000 min
3/11/2026, 11:58:57 PM6 trades$39215 min
4/18/2026, 10:35:18 PM4 trades$3680 min
3/12/2026, 12:44:35 AM5 trades$36211 min
4/30/2026, 10:17:36 PM2 trades$3450 min
4/28/2026, 11:18:14 PM4 trades$3240 min
6/6/2026, 2:36:57 PM3 trades$3230 min
6/5/2026, 6:13:13 PM3 trades$3161 min
4/26/2026, 8:20:22 PM2 trades$3130 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
03-18
04-25
05-27
06-17
07-10
07-30
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 95 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.46/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38.8 / M45.8 / H15.4