Bikerguy

@Bikerguy

#2,460,13457

0xe232fb20c5aa6c5b5b30a734b160564baf056786

~21d· 58 markets · 132 tradesVol: $5,262 @Bikergu2026-08-04 20:41:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

9% (5/58)0/20
1.50x (win $556 / loss $371)8.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.10215/15
Sortino 7.92310/10
$+0.4090 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 569 (58 markets)9.7/10
4/19 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 51% of peak ($126 / $245)3.8/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,618,451$-60Vol: $4,911
🎭 CULTURE#656,141$-6Vol: $207
🏛️ POLITICS#1,203,324$-7Vol: $144

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-73
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,262
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
67B / 65S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
9%
5W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$-73
Win Rate
9%
5W / 53L
Profit Factor
1.5x
Avg Win
$111
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $515 (7.067224584991083% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?$387
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?$80
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals$49
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?$22
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$19

Top Losers

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$-27
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$-21
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$-20
Timberwolves vs. Knicks$-20
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5$-20
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2025-10-05?$-17
France vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5$-14
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5$-13
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5$-10
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.107
Sortino
0.498
HHI
463
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.401
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.9%
Top-5 markets
39.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 482s — normal for humanCV 1.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.34
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59.7%
Mid (20-55c)31.3%
High (>55c)9%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 5:46:49 PM8 trades$5691 min
6/19/2026, 12:20:23 AM9 trades$3901 min
6/22/2026, 7:22:56 PM5 trades$3441 min
6/21/2026, 9:55:14 PM9 trades$3224 min
6/19/2026, 9:39:46 PM4 trades$1721 min
6/18/2026, 9:23:10 PM7 trades$1681 min
7/3/2026, 4:04:43 PM3 trades$1620 min
6/21/2026, 11:27:14 PM5 trades$1234 min
6/21/2026, 2:22:01 PM2 trades$1230 min
6/20/2026, 10:37:50 PM4 trades$1074 min
6/18/2026, 4:07:37 AM2 trades$860 min
6/18/2026, 2:19:08 AM4 trades$832 min
6/17/2026, 8:02:31 PM6 trades$822 min
6/23/2026, 1:13:28 AM7 trades$726 min
6/18/2026, 6:34:41 PM2 trades$630 min
6/17/2026, 11:10:14 PM6 trades$491 min
7/14/2026, 6:21:05 PM5 trades$460 min
2/3/2026, 9:02:14 PM2 trades$422 min
6/23/2026, 1:24:08 AM2 trades$410 min
6/22/2026, 5:03:04 PM3 trades$380 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-09
09-22
10-09
10-17
06-18
06-21
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.34/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.7 / M31.3 / H9