@gaspar.eross

#3,048,73629

0xe2418f4292756817bed4bd0738e565eb1c2b5b42

~16d· 60 markets · 404 tradesVol: $82,5072026-08-05 17:25:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (27/45)15/20
0.33x (win $1,049 / loss $3,206)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.4300/15
Sortino -5.4300/10
$-0.2964 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1043 (45 markets)7.3/10
21/37 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($2,308 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 60%
DCA Master
Avg 6.3 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#1,662,102$-3,199Vol: $41,110
🌤️ WEATHER#298,952$-2,188Vol: $31,410
🎭 CULTURE#806,503$-441Vol: $8,872
🏛️ POLITICS#1,248,022$-9Vol: $910
📈 ECONOMICS#562,920$-4Vol: $138
⚽ SPORTS#292,200$9Vol: $68

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,832
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$82,507
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
60
total markets
Trades
206B / 198S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$-16
Vol: $308
Week
$-1,280
Vol: $7,550
Month
$-1,367
Vol: $8,109
All Time
$-5,832
Vol: $82,507

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
27W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-5,832
Win Rate
60%
27W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.33x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-189

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $500 (0.08578850357923615% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?$171
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 20?$166
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on July 25?$163
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3?$151
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 25?$96
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$61
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?$60
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$47
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$41
XRP Up or Down - July 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$10

Top Losers

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$-899
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$-401
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$-382
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$-366
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?$-300
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 21?$-224
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 19?$-200
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 27?$-147
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 21?$-103
Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.280
Sortino
-0.221
HHI
583
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.403
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.9%
Top-5 markets
40.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 725s — normal for humanCV 2.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity18 trades/day — very active2.7 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.33
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.5%
Mid (20-55c)6.8%
High (>55c)75.7%

Sessions

#12
7/23/2026, 8:42:00 PM46 trades$1,17513 min
7/23/2026, 8:29:13 PM15 trades$1,1040 min
8/2/2026, 1:59:05 PM6 trades$7510 min
7/23/2026, 6:33:12 PM1 trades$5680 min
7/24/2026, 5:46:19 AM10 trades$5564 min
7/22/2026, 6:21:09 PM38 trades$3692 min
7/23/2026, 5:37:24 PM4 trades$3650 min
7/28/2026, 3:31:17 PM24 trades$3260 min
7/23/2026, 7:04:28 PM6 trades$3250 min
7/28/2026, 12:56:10 PM18 trades$2990 min
7/19/2026, 6:28:01 AM2 trades$2860 min
7/27/2026, 10:01:21 AM4 trades$2720 min
7/26/2026, 8:27:09 PM2 trades$2320 min
7/29/2026, 1:35:39 PM1 trades$2140 min
8/2/2026, 5:56:00 AM2 trades$2080 min
7/20/2026, 6:16:31 AM11 trades$2061 min
7/31/2026, 5:46:42 AM2 trades$2000 min
7/23/2026, 5:46:34 PM2 trades$1991 min
7/18/2026, 6:13:48 AM3 trades$1850 min
7/28/2026, 11:21:10 AM12 trades$1690 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-19 12:00:00
2026-07-26 17:00:00
2026-07-27 15:50:00
2026-07-27 23:40:00
2026-07-28 02:00:00
2026-07-28 13:00:00
2026-08-03 12:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
22.2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.5 / M6.8 / H75.7